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Nigeria’s inflation hit 33.20%

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…Inflation will come down soon — Bayo Onanuga

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) says Nigeria’s headline inflation rate increased to 33.20 percent in March 2024.

The NBS said this in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Inflation Report for March, which was released in Abuja on Monday.

According to the report, the figure is 1.50 per cent points higher compared to the 31.70 percent recorded in February 2024.

It said on a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate in March 2024 was 11.16 percent higher than the rate recorded in March 2023 at 22.04 percent.

In addition, the report said, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in March 2024 was 3.02 percent, which was 0.10 percent lower than the rate recorded in February 2024 at 3.12 percent.

“This means that in March 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is less than the rate of increase in the average price level in February 2024.”

The report attributed the increase in the headline index for March 2024 on a year-on-year basis and month-on-month basis to increase in some goods and services at the divisional level.

It said these increases were observed in food and non-alcoholic beverages, housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuel, clothing and footwear, and transport.

Others, it said, were furnishings, household equipment and maintenance, education, health, miscellaneous goods and services, restaurants and hotels, alcoholic beverage, tobacco and kola, recreation and culture, and communication.

It said the percentage change in the average CPI for the 12 months ending March 2024 over the average of the CPI for the previous corresponding 12-month period was 27.13 percent.

“This indicates a 6.76 percent increase compared to 20.37 percent recorded in March 2023,” it said.

The report said the food inflation rate in March 2024 increased to 40.01 percent on a year-on-year basis, which was 15.56 percent higher compared to the rate recorded in March 2023 at 24.45 percent.

“The rise in food inflation on a year-on-year basis is caused by increases in prices of Garri, Millet, Akpu (uncooked fermented, which are under bread and cereals class), Yam Tuber, and Water Yam.

“Others are Dried Fish Sardine, Mudfish Dried, Palm Oil, Vegetable Oil, Beef Feet, Beef Head, Liver, Coconut, Water Melon, Lipton Tea, Bournvita, and Milo,” NBS said.

It said on a month-on-month basis, the food inflation rate in March was 3.62 percent, which was a 0.17 percent decrease compared to the rate recorded in February 2024 at 3.79 percent.

“The fall in food inflation on a month-on-month basis was caused by a decrease in the average prices of Guinea corn flour, Plantain Flour etc (under Bread and Cereals class); Yam, Irish Potato, and CocoYam.

Others are Titus fish, Mudfish Dried, Lipton, Bournvita, and Ovaltine”, it said.

The report said that “all items less farm produce and energy’’ or core inflation, which excludes the prices of volatile agricultural produce and energy, stood at 25.90 percent in March on a year-on-year basis.

“This increased by 6.26 per cent compared to 19.63 percent recorded in March 2023.

“The exclusion of the PMS is due to the deregulation of the commodity by removal of subsidy.”

It said the highest increases were recorded in prices of bus journeys within the city, actual and imputed rentals for housing, consultation fee of a medical doctor, etc.

The NBS said on a month-on-month basis, the core inflation rate was 2.54 percent in March 2024.

“This indicates a 0.37 percent increase compared to what was recorded in February 2024 at 2.17 percent.”

“The average 12-month annual inflation rate was 22.26 percent for the 12 months ending March 2024, this was 5.04 per cent points higher than the 17.22 percent recorded in March 2023,” it said.

The report said on a year-on-year basis in March 2024, the urban inflation rate was 35.18 percent, 12.11 per cent higher compared to the 23.07 percent recorded in March 2023.

The report said on a year-on-year basis in March 2024, the rural inflation rate was 31.45 percent, which was 10.37 percent higher compared to the 21.09 percent recorded in March 2023.

“On a month-on-month basis, the rural inflation rate was 2.87 percent, which decreased by 0.20 percent compared to February 2024 at 3.07 percent,” it said.

On states’ profile analysis, the report showed that in March, all items inflation rate on a year-on-year basis was highest in Kogi at 39.97 percent, followed by Bauchi at 38.34 percent, and Kwara at 38.10 percent.

It, however, said the slowest rise in headline inflation on a year-on-year basis was recorded in Borno at 25.78 percent, followed by Benue and Taraba at 28.12 percent, and Katsina at 28.32 percent.

The report, however, said in March 2024, all items inflation rate on a month-on-month basis was highest in Zamfara at 3.90 percent, followed by Abia at 3.89 percent, and Ondo at 3.75 percent.

“Borno at 1.46 percent, followed by Yobe at 1.84 percent and Adamawa at 1.85 percent recorded the slowest rise in month-on-month inflation,” NBS said.

The report said on a year-on-year basis, food inflation was highest in Kogi at 48.46 percent, followed by Kwara at 46.18 percent, and Akwa Ibom at 45.18 percent.

“Nasarawa at 33.76 percent, followed by Borno at 34.28 percent and Bauchi at 34.38 percent recorded the slowest rise in food inflation on a year-on-year basis,” it said.

The report, however, said on a month-on-month basis, food inflation was highest in Abia at 5.17 percent, followed by Cross River at 5.14 per cent, and Bayelsa at 4.75 percent.

“Cross River stood at 1.59 percent, followed by Yobe at 2.08 percent and Adamawa at 2.12 percent, recording the slowest rise in inflation on a month-on-month basis,” it said.

…Inflation will come down soon — Bayo Onanuga

Meanwhile, the Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga says while inflation still appears untamed, according to the latest report by NBS, indications are that it will slow down as the Naira continues to strengthen in the market.

He said, “NBS reported that in March 2024, the headline inflation rate increased by 1.50 percent to 33.20 percent relative to the February 2024 headline inflation rate which was 31.70 percent .

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.16 percent points higher compared to the rate recorded in March 2023, which was 22.04 percent .

“What is obvious in the report is that market forces are yet to reflect the strengthening of the Naira in recent weeks against the dollar. The effect will be noticed as old stocks are replaced with new ones bought with a depreciated dollar.

“The Naira had lost 43 percent of its value up till mid-February. But since then it has rallied greatly, becoming the most performing currency among global currencies.

“Governor Olayemi Cardoso of CBN and his team have their job cut for them to find ways of reining in the inflation when they meet May 20-21, about  a week to the Tinubu administration’s first anniversary.”

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Power transmission: TCN unbundled, as FG orders registration of new Independent System Operator

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…Nigerians enjoying improved power supply — Presidential aide

…As FG installs more substations in Lagos, Kebbi to boost power supply

The Federal Government through the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has ordered the registration of a new Independent System Operator.

This function was earlier carried out by the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN), however, with the new directive, the TCN will cease to act in this role.

This directive Nigerian NewsDirect is coming on the heels of perceived allegations of mismanagement and ineffectiveness of the TCN to address repetitive issues on the nation’s power grid.

It is noteworthy that since privatisation, the national grid has collapsed more than 140 times thus drowning the nation into darkness.

In the order signed by the NERC Chairman, Engr. Sanusi Garba and Vice Chairman, Musiliu Oseni, the TCN has been ordered to transfer all system and market operations related assets, contracts and staff to the new entity.

The Nigerian Independent System Operator Limited will be responsible for managing the national grid and other system operations related market contracts and transactions.

TCN as a successor company of the defunct Power Holding Company of Nigeria, PHCN, was issued with two licenses by NERC as a Transmission Service Provider and Independent System Operator.

The NERC order formally unbundles the TCN into Transmission Service Provider, TSP and Independent System Operator, as prescribed in the Electricity Act 2023.

The Commission’s action is seen as a reaction to the frequent national grid collapses that have seen four nationwide blackouts this year.

The Commission ordered BPE to “incorporate, no later than 31 May 2024, a private company limited by shares under the Companies and Allied Matters Act to carry out the market and system operation functions stipulated in the EA and the terms and conditions of the system operation licence issued to TCN.”

“The name of the company shall, subject to availability at Corporate Affairs Commission, be the Nigerian Independent System Operator of Nigeria Limited (‘NISO’). ii. The object clause of the Memorandum of Association of the NISO as provided in section 1 6(2) of EA shall be as follows a. to hold and manage all assets and liabilities pertaining to market and system operation on behalf of market participants and consumer groups or such stakeholders as the Commission may specify; b. to carry out all market and system operation-related contractual rights and obligations novated to it by the Transmission Company of Nigeria;

“c. to negotiate and enter into contract for the procurement of ancillary services with independent power producers, successor generation licensees, etc and generally carryout market and system operations functions as specified under the EA and the terms of its license in the interest of market participants and system users; d. to carry out all market and system operation-related contractual rights and obligations novated to it by the Transmission Company of Nigeria; the income and property transferred to it by the TCN or whensoever derived shall be applied solely towards the promotion of its objects as set forth in its incorporation documents and no portion thereof shall be paid or transferred directly or indirectly by way of dividend, or bonus otherwise howsoever, by way of profit to the subscribers: provided that nothing herein contained shall prevent the payment in good faith of remuneration to any contractor or staff of the company in return for any services rendered to the Company.”

The Commission said the NISO’s initial subscribers shall be the Bureau of Public Enterprises and Ministry of Finance Incorporated (MOFI) while the final shareholding structure of NISO shall be determined after further consultations with government, market participants and industry stakeholders.

Meanwhile, a Presidential aide to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has stated that Nigerians have been enjoying improved power supply.

The President’s Special Assistant on Social media, Dada Olusegun in a series of tweets made this known.

According to him, “Nigeria’s second largest hydropower plant; the ZUNGERU POWER PLANT, was connected to the national grid last week leading to an improved supply in electricity to many areas across the country.

“The ambitious power plant represents a major achievement of the APC led government starting under former President Muhammadu Buhari who handed over engineering, procurement, and construction to a Chinese consortium comprising China National Electric Engineering Company (CNEEC) and Sinohydro after initial construction began in 2013.

“President Tinubu ensured continuity with the concession process which is set to earn Nigeria $70m annually for the next 30 years for managing the complex.

“The gigantic reservoir has a capacity to hold 10.4bn cubic meters of water. The power project is estimated to generate 2.64 billion kWh of electricity annually, which will meet close to 10 percent of Nigeria’s total domestic energy needs. Slowly but surely, we will get there,” He tweeted.

Similarly, more mobile substations acquired under the Federal Government-Government Siemens deal are being installed in parts of the country to boost the wheeling capacity of the transmission network.

Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu who inaugurated the mobile substations in Lagos and Birnin Kebbi, said the infrastructure stands as a beacon of hope for businesses and households towards achieving uninterrupted power supply.

The two Substations installed have a total wheeling capacity of 123 megawatts which is expected to enhance electricity supply.

Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, described the project as a testament to the renewed hope agenda of President Bola Tinubu in accelerating the delivery of the Siemens project thereby transforming the power sector.

The power minister implored Nigerians to safeguard the infrastructure against vandalisation as the success of government interventions in the sector hinged on collective responsibility.

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2024 is for expansion, higher dividends for our shareholders — Transcorp Hotels MD

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…Gives reasons for proposed 5,000 capacity event centre in Abuja

By Emmanuel Atokolo

The Managing Director/CEO of Transcorp Hotels Plc, Dupe Olusola has stated that the year 2024 for the company is targeted at expansion and delivering higher dividends for her shareholders.

Speaking in an interview on Arise TV, Dupe explained that the company is solely focused on expansion as they look to remain a leading Hospitality brand in Nigeria through massively investing in the Hospitality business.

The Transcorp Hotels MD also seized the occasion to clarify why the company is embarking on the construction of an event centre.

Dupe explained that Transcorp is building a 3,500 to 5,000 capacity events centre in Abuja to ensure that high profile events can be held in Nigeria and in turn generate revenue for themselves while also tackling unemployment.

She also mentioned a 315 rooms 5-star Hotel at Ikoyi on a 14,000 square metres land that will provide a top notch leisure and relaxation environment with side attractions.

When quizzed about how Transcorp has been able to increase asset growth and revenue base, the CEO explained that

Dupe stated that all the stakeholders during the AGM were pleased with the financial statements and it was approved that a 20 kobo dividend be paid to all shareholders which is a 54% increase from the previous year which was 13 kobo.

She added that the Hotel recorded 72 percent growth in the first quarter (Q1) of 2024, 5 billion in net profit and Occupancy rate increased to 83 percent as guests are always happy to come back and bring potential guests too.

“Profit before tax also increased by 105 percent, so also did revenue as it increased by 36 percent amounting to N41.5 billion.” She narrated.

The MD added that to add to the shareholders joy over the profitability witnessed so far, there are further plans to ensure that they make more progress in the current year.

She said that 2024 will be about expansion through an aggressive budget.

Likewise, Dupe mentioned that they have a Hospitality business platform named “Aura by Transcorp PLC” through which you can make online bookings from anywhere.

She noted that it also helps to enlarge their foot prints as inventory has increased to 5000 and they are looking to further solidify their rating in Nigeria in the next 2-3 years, then expand outside the shores of Nigeria in the next 3-5 years.

In her response to how Transcorp made much profit in the Q1 of 2024, Mrs Olusola clarified that resilience has been a key factor as they don’t take for granted that they are a leading Hospitality brand but they strive to improve their services as they continually work on guest experience which is a vital factor in the Hospitality business.

She also explained that the Covid era taught them to think outside the box which motivated them to make arrangements to host diverse guests as some people don’t book rooms but come with their family to just relax and go back.

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Customs FX rate hiked to N1,441/$

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The foreign exchange (FX) rate for import duties to N1,441.58 per dollar has been hiked by the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) as observed on Friday on the federal government’s single window trade portal.

The increase represents a 4.94 percent as against the N1,373.64/$ adopted on May 1.

The rate adopted by Customs was observed on Friday on the federal government’s single window trade portal.

The customs typically adopts FX rates recommended by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for import duties based on trading activities in the official FX market.

The rate is higher than the official FX rate of N1,402/$ recorded on May 2, and N1,390 traded on May 1.

Recall that according to CBN on February 23, the Customs and other related parties must adopt the closing rate in the official window for import duty.

The apex bank said the FX rate at the point of importation should be used for import duty assessment until the termination date and clearance are finalised.

Meanwhile, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Muda Yusuf said such a movement could be detrimental to the economy.

He said the economy’s real sector activities such as planning, production, and other activities are negatively impacted by the frequent changes.

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