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Spree of killings: Why new Nigerian Govt must fight head-on

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June 2021, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) projected about 1.1 million lives could be lost by 2030, if the insurgency ravaging Nigeria’s North-east region is not put to an end. The UNDP in its report also said the  conflict in the war-torn states of Adamawa, Borno, and Yobe “had increased by 10 times killing nearly 350,000 people as of the end of 2020.”

In August 2019, the insurgency led by extremist Islamic groups was estimated to have killed an estimated 35,000 in the North-east parts of Nigeria since the beginning of the conflict in 2009.  The UN report in 2021 titled, ‘Assessing the Impact of Conflict on Development in North-east Nigeria,’ had said that critical aspect of progress and development, including Gross Domestic Product (GDP), poverty, malnutrition, infant mortality, education, water availability and sanitation, may not return to pre-conflict levels in the region even by 2030.

According to the report, findings show that “for each casualty caused directly by insurgency, an additional nine people, primarily children, have lost their lives due to a lack of food and resources – and more than 90 per cent of conflict-attributable deaths are of children under the age of five.” The report further noted that the economic destruction brought by the insurgency “has dismantled already fragile health and food systems with less than 60 per cent of health facilities in Adamawa, Borno, and Yobe states are fully functional, while a quarter is either destroyed or non-functional.”

“Without continued investment in development as a long-term solution, the protracted conflict in North-east Nigeria will continue to impact other parts of the country and the entire Sahel region,” the UNDP had said. According to the report, “the conflicts in the three states of Borno, Adamawa and Yobe that recorded deaths of 35,000 at the end of 2019, increased by 10 times at nearly 350,000 deaths through the end of 2020, with 314,000 of those from indirect causes.”

The index had added that “for every year that conflict continues; infants and children are the most impacted – with about 170 children under five years die daily – and by 2030, it is estimated to grow by 240.” It had reported that women and children make up 80 per cent of the displaced population in the North-east and have limited options for work and survival, including difficulties accessing resources. In 2020, findings from the report estimates that 1.8 million students are out of school who would have been enrolled if not for conflict.

“By 2030, in the conflict scenario, the average Nigerian in the BAY states will have had a full year (20 per cent) of education less than expected in the No Conflict scenario. As of 2019, 81 per cent of people living in Yobe, 64 per cent in Borno, and 60 per cent in Adamawa suffer from multidimensional poverty, a measure that accounts for deprivation with respect to standards of living, health, and education,” the UNDP had noted.

While the projections of the loss of about 1.1 million lives by 2030 looks gory amid other socio economic adverse effects, it is a subject of worry that not much has been done to step down the tide. Reports of killings from terror attacks have not shown pragmatic moves taken to reverse the projection. For some days now, reports of gory attacks have been rife. In a fresh wave of attacks on Sunday night, assailants killed at least eight persons including an eight-month-old infant, in Farin Lamba, a community in Vwang District of Jos South Local Government Area of Plateau State. The gory incident came two days after another attack on Sabon Gari, a community in Mangu Local Government of the State, left several persons dead and houses burnt. Spokesperson of Berom Youth Moulders, Rwang Tengwong, had said the attackers arrived in a Vectra vehicle at about 9:45 p.m. and shot sporadically; killing at least eight and injuring many more.

In response to the killings, President Bola Tinubu in a statement titled ‘Plateau killings: we must break this cycle of violence,’ expressed sadness and grief over the incident, condemning the killings in Mangu and parts of Benue State. President  Tinubu, on Tuesday in Abuja, who described as “unfortunate” the killing of the eight-month-old infant in the recent violence in Plateau and Benue states, north-central Nigeria, directed security agencies to fish out the masterminds of the killings, insisting that they be made to face the full wrath of the law.

“It is most unfortunate that in this orgy of violence, an innocent eight-month-old baby in Farin Lamba community of Vwang District, Jos South Local Government, died in a conflict she knew nothing about,” a statement signed by the President’s Special Adviser on Special Duties, Communications, and Strategy, Dele Alake, read on Tuesday. The President who described the festering reprisal attacks as “needless and avoidable” said, “A major consequence of perennial conflict is always the tragic loss of innocent lives.”

“To build virile, peaceful, and prosperous communities demand tolerance and forgiveness for every perceived wrongdoing,” he added. To rebuild trust and restore harmony to these conflict areas, President Tinubu urged community leaders, religious leaders, traditional rulers, socio-cultural organisations as well as the leadership of the Arewa Consultative Forum, Jama’atu Nasril Islam, and the Christian Association of Nigeria to work together to help foster genuine and long-lasting peace.

Recall that Tinubu had in his inaugural speech mentioned security would take top priority of his government. Following the spree of recent killings, Tinubu while reaffirming his government’s strong determination to stamp out violent crimes and all forms of criminalities everywhere in Nigeria,   directed security agencies “to fish out the masterminds of the dastardly acts to face the full wrath of the law.”

Recall that Tinubu had in June replaced all the Security Chiefs in the Country. The development was greeted with much expectations and demands placed on them. The Security Chiefs had repeatedly in various fora pledged and promised service to duty to fulfill the thrust of the mandate placed on them.

For instance, on Monday 03 July, following a meeting President Tinubu had with the Service Chiefs on the need for them to meet expectations placed on them, the National Security Adviser (NSA) Nuhu Ribadu who spoke after the meeting which had in attendance the Chief of Defence Staff, Major General Christopher Musa, the Chief of Army Staff, Major General Taoreed Lagbaja, the Chief of Naval Staff, Rear Admiral Emmanuel Ogalla, the Chief of Air Staff, Air Vice Marshal Hassan Abubakar, and the Acting IGP, Kayode Egbetokun, had said: “We’re here to thank Mr President for the opportunity he gave us to serve our Country and to serve his own government. We also pledged our loyalty to him, Nigeria and Nigerians.

“We believe the choice he made is the right one, the correct one, and we know what he wants for this country. We’re going to work tirelessly to ensure that we accomplish that objective of securing our country, establishing peace, stability and let’s get our lives back. He gave us the assurance that he’s with us 100 percent. He told us that we must work as a team and that there’s work to be done, he’ll expect us to deliver and we’re grateful for the opportunity. That’s why we are here. Where we are today and you can see already things are improving in our Country. If you see the record of crimes and activities of criminals are going down, it will continue to go down. We’ll secure this place. Nigerians have seen the quality of the people that are given opportunity, they are probably some of the best we have and they are not going to fail you, they’ll certainly deliver.”

Similarly on Tuesday, the Chief of Army Staff, (COAS), Major General Taoreed Abiodun Lagbaja  had said that under his watch, the Nigerian Army will work towards emplacing a security atmosphere where citizens living in Kaduna, Niger State, Zamfara state and every other community can go to sleep and wake up around 2am in the morning and go about their businesses without fear of bandits, let or hindrance.

Major General Lagbaja made the pledge when he received the Governor of Kaduna state, Senator Uba Sani at the Army Headquarters Abuja, saying, “We will bring stability to Birnin Gwari, Dansadau and neighbouring communities where bandits may flee to, because we if we do that, we prevent them from spreading to other areas.”

The need to address Nigeria’s security woes cannot be overemphasied. The human, capital and economic losses recorded so far have left the Country with relics of erstwhile fortress of good estate. The social impacts have been debilitating. It was recorded Nigeria lost $40.6 billion alone to insecurity in 2020 as unknown gunmen, killer herdsmen, bandits, Boko Haram, and ISWAP terrorists combined to unleash violence in various parts of the country. According to the Institute for Economics & Peace’s ‘Global Peace Index 2021: Measuring Peace in a Complex World, Sydney, June 2021,’ the economic impact of violence on the global economy amounted to $14.96 trillion in constant purchasing power parity (PPP) terms. This was equivalent to 11.6 per cent of global GDP or $1,942 per person.

In 2020, the economic impact of violence increased for the second year in a row, rising by 0.2 per cent or $32.5 billion from the previous year. Government spending on the military and internal security comprised almost three-quarters of the global economic impact of violence said the GPI.  With Nigeria named one of the least peaceful countries globally, ranked 146 out of 163, the report put the economic impact of violence at $40.6 billion.

Last September 2021, a study by the Institute of Economics and Peace (IEP) revealed that protracted violence has affected eight per cent of Nigeria’s GDP, leading to a loss of about N50 trillion within 18 months. The ICIR reported that the N50 trillion is about three times bigger than the 2022 Budget that immediate past President Muhammadu Buhari signed into law on December 31, 2021. The budget provides for aggregate expenditures of N17.127 trillion, the highest in the nation’s history.

This means that the N50 trillion, which the IEP reported that Nigeria lost to insecurity within 18 months, from January 2021 to June 2022, could fund budgets for three years, going by the amount budgeted for 2022. The ‘Nigeria Security Analysis Report’ which is part of the IEP 2021-2022 report (January 2021 to June 2022) followed a research by Nextier SPD.

According to the report, the Nigerian government spent at least N8 trillion on security without achieving the desired results. “Nigeria lost about N50.38 trillion to growing violence in 2021. The Nigerian government has spent at least N8 trillion on security provisions without achieving the desired results,” the report had said.

In April 2022, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) had said that Nigeria now has about 3.3 million people displaced by various crisies rocking the country. Speaking at the opening ceremony of the stakeholder workshop on the Best Practices for Stabilization in West Africa, the Vice President of the ECOWAS Commission, Madam Finda Koroma, had noted that “additionally, violent attacks by Boko Haram in the Northeastern in Nigeria, have resulted in the displacement of 2.5 million Nigerians, whilst kidnappings, extortion, and organised criminal attacks in the Northwest have displaced an additional 800,000 people. We need to find a way to return these communities to their homes, safely.”

Several recommendations have greeted the discourse to address the insecurity woes ravaging the Country. According to the UNDP “There is a need for international partners and national stakeholders to ensure that funds are invested not only on life-saving and humanitarian needs but also mid-and long-term development priorities in order to enable Nigeria to achieve the SDGs and attain the AU 2063.”

The plethora of recommendations nonetheless, it is pertinent that the new government must display,  nurture, and sustain the will commensurate to fight the insecurity scourge headlong. This remains indisputable if it would record any meaningful achievement in all facets of governance. It is, therefore, important the government muster effort and deploy all required resources to complement the push needed to tackle the problem.

Editorial

Endless turnaround maintenance of Port Harcourt Refinery

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Since 2021 when the turnaround maintenance of the Port Harcourt Refinery started, there have been heaps of failed promises of the production commencement date.

First, it was former Minister of State for Petroleum, Timipre Sylva promising severally of commencement of productions of Port Harcourt Refinery, but these promises never came to limelight till he resigned for political calling.

Next was the Managing Director of Port Harcourt Refinery, Ahmed Dikko who at a time said the turnaround maintenance was 98 percent completed and would have commenced operations in December 2023. That promise again was unfulfilled.

The Group Managing Director of Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd), Mele Kyari equally said that Port Harcourt Refinery would start production in two weeks time, that elapsed in April, 2024. April has come and gone.

The Head, Corporate Communications of NNPC Ltd, Olufemi Soneye was also quoted to have said that the reason for non-commencement of operations of the Port Harcourt Refinery was regulatory and compliance tests. As it seems, all efforts to restart the operations of the Port Harcourt Refinery and by extension other refineries, have been futile.

Political watchers have adduced poor management, corruption, sabotage and lack of political will as some of the problems confronting smooth operations of our refineries. They particularly accused those benefitting from importation of petroleum products as being responsible for the non-functionality of the four refineries in Nigeria.

Political will, of course, plays a major role in shaping directions the policies go. Political will in this instance translates to good leadership, and in this case, the buck stops at the table of the Federal Government, particularly the President, who doubles as the Minister of Petroleum.

Petroleum being the mainstay of the country’s economy should be given all the attention it deserves. The reason being that virtually everything in the country is tied to the petroleum products situation.

Since the announcement of the removal of fuel subsidy on May 29th, 2023 by President Tinubu on assumption of office, life has not been the same in Nigeria. Cost of living has  risen astronomically, consequent upon the hike in price of petroleum products.

In the midst of plenty, courtesy of the abundant human and material resources, Nigeria is still often described as the poverty capital of the world. What an irony! Turnaround maintenance of the refineries subsists without end. Every hope is now placed on the Dangote Refinery, a private outfit. While the diesel price slash is commendable, how on earth will a single private entity take the whole country to Eldorado?

We cannot regulate what we do not produce, this is a natural principle that cannot be contravened. We only pray that Port Harcourt Refinery comes on stream someday.

We look forward to that time. Our position is that Government agencies saddled with the responsibility of providing fuel and other petroleum products to Nigeria must do their work and justify their pay.

This onerous task is mandatory and statutory to them and shall amount to disservice if they fail. Our prayer is not for them to fail, but that they fulfil their vows and make the country great for the overall interest of all.

Tecnimont, the Italian company undertaking the $1.5 billion rehabilitation project of the Port Harcourt Refinery has through its Local Managing Director, Gian Fabio Del Cioppo pledged to fulfil the terms of contract, so as far as we are concerned, there is nothing stopping the country from achieving the target of the turnaround maintenance project.

The only clog would of course be lack of political will, which we know could be cultivated. So let all hands be put on deck to achieve results.

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Editorial

Gas explosions: Nigeria and its avoidable tragedies 

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Nigerians die daily for reasons  so avoidable it would make  a 19th century peasant weep.  The deaths are often a product of systemic wickedness, nonchalance, and greed. Too often have gas explosions claimed the lives of Nigerians untimely. Whether it is the leaders refusing to enforce the checks and balances for personal gain, or citizens selling defective gas cylinders, it all balls down to a collective aversion for kindness.

The internet is rife with news of this tragedy occurring in a Sisyphean cycle. Jolted by the cries of the populace, the leaders promise reprieve, release press statements and in the weeks that follow, little to nothing happens. “One must imagine Sisyphus happy,” Camus wrote. Unfortunately, our Nigerian dead imagine nothing.

While people relaxed from their labour, were preparing for the Workers Day celebrations, nine people including a pregnant woman were injured in Tuesday’s gas cylinder explosion at Alaba Lane, Alayabiagba Community of Ajegunle-Apapa, Lagos.

“The fire explosion started around 1:30 pm and immediately, two tricycles were burnt, school children coming back from school were affected. A particular young man was seriously affected as his body was peeling off, but rushed to the Gbagada General Hospital,” according to reports.

The usual suspect is, of course, negligence, as the Director of Lagos State Fire and Rescue Service, Margaret Adeseye, puts it: “preliminary investigation revealed that several various gas cylinders traded within the neighbourhood have one triggered from a susceptible leakage leading to the snapping of a high tension cable and resultant Fire.”

The explosion razed down “four commercial tricycles, six lock-up shops, a bungalow part of properties, while salvaging adjoining structures including a major fuel service station.” Children were hurt, the future of the nation plunged, as usual into avoidable misfortune.

The way out is through. The press releases are wonderful PR statements but they do not bring back the dead, as was the case in Ogun State recently where a truck explosion cost the nation another life. The leaders must enforce the checks and balances put in place. The law is no decoration.

We mustn’t wait until a politician’s family member is involved in a tragic gas accident before “banning” (as is the default response of the Nigerian leadership). The leaders must realise that such misfortunes are contagious, and money is hardly a bulwark against 3rd degree burns in a nation where all its doctors are fleeing.

Renewed Hope requires renewed action. This is all that Nigerians ask of its leaders. All agencies responsible for monitoring trucks, cylinders need to work together to defeat this peculiar evil. Like COVID-19, gas explosions are no respecter of persons.

Of course, citizens too must do their part and resist the allure of profit over the death of others. A society without empathy is headed for a dystopia. It will not matter the price of petrol or electricity tariff, if all that matters is the pursuit of super profit at the expense of one’s neighbour. We owe it to the dead to live fully and graciously. To escape, as we should, avoidable tragedies.

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Dangote’s diesel price slash proactive step towards economic growth

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Oil marketers have continued to dispense Automotive Gas Oil, popularly called diesel, at a price between N1,350/litre and N1,450/litre in various locations across the country despite repeated cuts in the price of the commodity by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery. Although they attributed the high pump price of AGO to transportation costs, taxes and old stock in most of the tanks in their filling stations, they commended Dangote for yielding to their calls for further reduction in the price of AGO from the plant.

The recent reduction in the price of diesel to N940 per litre by Dangote Refinery is a welcome development. It will, hopefully, help reduce the cost of transportation, which will presumably, lead to a reduction in the prices of goods and services. This is good news for consumers who have been grappling with high inflation and weak purchasing power.

The price change of N940 applies to customers buying five million litres and above from the refinery, while N970 is for customers buying one million litres and above. It would be recalled that the management of Dangote Petroleum Refinery announced a further reduction of the price of diesel from 1200 to 1,000 Naira per litre barely two weeks ago.

The strategic impact of affordable diesel prices on the economy cannot be overstated, especially in a country like Nigeria where transportation, a key component of any business activity, is controlled by the private sector. Diesel is the fuel that powers most commercial vehicles, including trucks, buses, and generators, which are essential for the movement of people, goods and services across the country.

If diesel prices are high, it directly affects the cost of transportation, which in turn affects the prices of goods and services. For example, if a trader has to pay more for transportation, they will pass on the cost to the end consumer, resulting in higher prices for basic commodities like food, clothing, and household items.

This marks the third major reduction in diesel price in less than three weeks when the product was sold at N1,700 to N1,200 and also a further reduction to N1,000 and now N940 for diesel and N980 for aviation fuel per litre.

The decision of Dangote Refinery to first crash the price from about N1,750/litre to N1,200/litre, N1,000/litre and now N940 is an eloquent demonstration of the capacity of local industries to impact the fortunes of the national economy positively. The trickle-down effect of this singular intervention promises to change the dynamics in the energy cost equation of the country, amid the inadequate and rising cost of electricity.

The reduction will have far-reaching effects in critical sectors like industrial operations, transportation, logistics, and agriculture, contributing to easing the high inflation rate in the country. It must be noted that most manufacturing companies in Nigeria generate their own electricity powered by diesel. If the price of that energy source is affordable, a lot of companies will be back in operation with the added advantage of enhanced employment opportunities and a friendlier cost of products.

Before now, manufacturers were confronted with abnormal costs of doing business instigated by the energy crisis. What followed was a steep rise in prices of factors of production as well as other inputs that impacted negatively in the economy. As a result, many foreign companies had to leave the country due to the high cost of doing business. This and the worsening power supply had and is still having very devastating effects on businesses at the moment.

Nigeria’s annual inflation rate has surged to 33.2 percent, the highest since March 1996, up from 31.7 percent in the previous month. This sharp increase in inflation is primarily driven by the steep depreciation of the local currency and the removal of fuel subsidies. Food inflation, which constitutes a significant portion of Nigeria’s inflation basket, has continued to climb, reaching 40 per cent in March, the highest level since August 2005. Additionally, the annual core inflation rate, excluding farm produce and energy, has soared to a multi-year high of 25.9 per cent in March. Consumer prices, however, eased slightly to three per cent, down from 3.1 percent as of February 1.

The benefits of affordable diesel prices extend beyond the consumer level. It also has a positive impact on the nation’s economy as a whole. For one, it will help reduce the cost of production for manufacturers and other businesses that rely on diesel-powered machinery. This will make them more competitive and ultimately lead to increased economic growth.

Furthermore, affordable diesel prices will also make it easier for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to thrive. SMEs are the backbone of any economy, and reducing their operational costs will help them grow and create jobs which, in turn, will boost the economy.

Ultimately, the artificial fuel queues resumption is uncalled for at this critical time of untold hardship on Nigerians. Since the planned removal of the fuel subsidy has failed, the best thing for the APC-led administration is to carry out an urgent review of the policy. Nigerians have witnessed untold hardship in the past few days due to the scarcity of petroleum products in the country.

Few filling stations selling fuel are doing so at cutthroat prices. If you are lucky enough to get commercial transportation, you should be ready to pay more than you already budgeted. This situation has shown that the said fuel subsidy removal by the Tinubu-led administration is a failure, a professional scam and there is a need for an urgent review of the policy.

We urge the Federal to deploy emergency means of resolving the unbearable fuel scarcity situation because Nigerians are passing through hell.

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