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OPEC+ almost 3mpd behind its production target — Report 

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OPEC+members  produced 2.9  million barrels per day (bpd) below their collective oil production target in July, two OPEC+ sources said on Monday.

The gap between overall quota and actual oil production from the OPEC+ members has been growing for more than a year, with many producers unable to raise production due to capacity and/or investment constraints, while the alliance has added more barrels to its monthly oil production target.

Production in Russia, albeit stabilized at a level from February, just before the invasion of Ukraine, hasn’t increased as it should have been under the OPEC+ agreement.

Russia, the leader of the non-OPEC group in the OPEC+ pact, has the same monthly targets as OPEC’s top producer and largest crude oil exporter in the world, Saudi Arabia.

But while the Saudis have been raising production in recent months, Russia has not. In addition, many OPEC+ members, especially OPEC’s African producers Nigeria and Angola, have been significantly lagging behind their respective quotas.

So, in July, per Reuters’ sources in OPEC+, the alliance was 2.892 million bpd below quota, bringing compliance with the cuts to hit a mind-blowing 546 per cent in July, up from 320 per cent in June. Compliance at 100 per cent means OPEC+ is pumping at the levels set out in the deal.

For June, the OPEC+ group already had a massive shortfall of 2.84 million bpd between actual production and the target oil output level as part of the deal, two delegates at the alliance told Argus last month.

As OPEC+ is unwinding its cuts, more and more members are falling further behind their quotas due to a lack of capacity or investment in supply.

OPEC+ was widely expected to continue to underperform by a lot compared to its production targets for July and August after the group decided to accelerate the rollback of the cuts and have those completely unwound by the end of August.

Energy

NERC slashes Band ‘A’ electricity tariff to N206.80 /Kwh

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The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has approved a downward review of electricity tariff for Band ‘A’ customers from N225/kWh to N206.80/kwh.

Under the approved review, Band ‘A’ customers who were previously charged N225/Kwh are now to pay N206.80/kwh.

The band’s customers are those who enjoy a daily supply of a minimum of 20 hours.

The review of the tariff was announced in Abuja on Monday by a notice issued by the management of Abuja Electricity Distribution Company (AEDC).

The notice read, ’’ We are pleased to share with you the revised tariff for our Band ‘A’ feeders,  which will decrease from N225/kwh  to N206.80 effective May 6.

“We assure customers on our Band ‘A’ feeders of continued availability of electricity supply for 20-24 hours daily.

“Please note that the tariffs for Band B, C D and E remain unaffected. ‘’

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Unbundling of TCN will improve access to electricity — Experts

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Some power experts have commended the Federal Government’s decision to unbundle the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN), saying this will improve access to electricity.

They spoke in separate interviews with journalists on Sunday in Lagos.

Recall that the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), on May 3, unbundled the TCN into two separate entities, raising hopes for a more efficient and reliable national grid, potentially leading to increased access to electricity.

NERC, acting under the provisions of the Nigeria Electricity Act, ordered the establishment of an Independent System Operator (ISO) to take over the market and system operations functions of TCN.

According to the order, TCN will retain its transmission service provider licence and continue to maintain power transmission infrastructure across the country.

Chairman, Customer Consultative Forum of Festac/Satellite Town, Dr Akinrolabu Olukayode, described the unbundling as a welcome development to further improve the power sector.

According to Olukayode, the attempt is striving at ensuring a balanced system where the monopoly enjoyed over these few years by TCN is dissolved to allow for new hands who will inject fresh ideas, devoid of monotonous inclined perennial failure as witnessed in recent times.

“The effectiveness of power transmission will largely be determined by the quantum of synergy between power generating channels and structure for maintenance of the grid.

“The generating plants should be energised to full capacity scale,” he said.

The expert urged the government to set 60 percent capital funding to subsidise expenditure on procurement from the budgetary allocation and offer shares for public subscription to keep the sector lubricated.

He said that TCN was partially progressive but undue government influences created rooms for bureaucracy which made its operations ladened with hiccups.

Olukayode said that there was a need for the government to declare a state of emergency in power that will usher in fresh hands to rid the system of saboteurs.

Also, National Coordinator, All Electricity Consumers Protection Forum, Mr Samuel Ilori, described the unbundling of TCN as good and welcoming, while advising the government to do due diligence and avoid the replica of what happened in distribution companies.

Ilori said that the unbundling is expected to improve service delivery and effectiveness, adding that many of the equipment and substations in the sector are moribund and obsolete.

He said that injection of money and expertise to the area of transmission might help stem the tide of incessant collapse of grids and allow what was being generated to be distributed.

“My advice is to scrap the privatisation of the distribution companies in 2013 by President Jonathan administration.

“If proper foundation was laid then and things were done according to the laid down rules of the Bureau of Public Enterprise (BPE) then as headed by Mrs Bolanle Onagoruwa, we will not be having this mess.

“The Siemens contract as of today remains elusive as we do not know what is going on.

“Government needs to declare a state of emergency in the sector to be able to set it on a recovery path,” he added.

A power expert, Mr Toluwalase Godwin, said the new operator would manage electricity demand and supply, ensuring the delivery of electricity where and when needed, without bias, at the lowest cost possible, while ensuring reliability and avoiding grid instability and collapse in the process.

“This means that NISO will be responsible for dispatch management, international transmission, capacity management, and wholesale market in the near future.

“Potentially signalling the near end of life for Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc, which currently oversees some of NISO’s functions,” he said.

He noted that this development is moving to a more liberalised market where NISO would be increasingly responsible for capacity auction, real-time energy market, ancillary services procurement, day-ahead market, spot market, reserve management, pricing and settlement.

“The separation of responsibilities between entities allows for a concentrated focus, with transmission services management predominantly revolving around technological aspects, while system operations are entrenched in energy economics.”

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FG pegs electricity supply to international customers at 6% of available grid generation

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The Federal Government  has mandated system operators in the Nigerian power industry to supply not more than six percent of total available grid generation per hour to international customers or off-takers.

In a new order by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) to electricity generation companies on Saturday, the regulator stated that the priority system of prioritising international customers and limiting distribution companies (Discos)’ offtake during times of imbalances in the grid is both inefficient and inequitable.

According to the new order, the aggregate capacity to be allocated by electricity generation companies to international off-takers in the next six months shall not be more than 10 percent of Genco’s generation capacity.

It stated, “The System Operator shall ensure that the maximum load allocation to international off-takers in each trading hour shall not be more than six percent of the total available grid generation.

“The aggregate capacity that can be nominated by a generating plant to service international off-takers shall not be more than 10 percent of its available generation capacity unless in exceptional circumstances a derogation is granted by the Commission.”

Furthermore, the new order mandated the system operators and the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) to install IoT meters at all offtake and delivery points of Eligible Customers, bilateral supplies, cross-border trades, and outgoing 33kv feeders of the DisCos to provide real-time data on supply to offtakers.

The new order also mandates the system operator to publish hourly readings of adherence to grid instructions to check for violations of offtake contracts and also publish the previous day’s hourly log reading to market participants.

The Federal Government has observed that electricity generation companies in times of low grid availability prefer to supply to international customers sometimes above the allocated offtake on the bilateral contracts.

The NERC noted that such practices have caused untold hardship to Nigerians due to irregular supply to Discos, especially during times of high demand, hence this order.

By the order, the Federal Government is prioritising electricity supply to local customers- industrial and residential- following the hike in electricity tariff to Band A customers and the need to ensure the set hours of electricity supply to different categories of local customers is met.

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