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Equities, naira crash setting up weak Q2 outlook

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Activities in Nigeria’s financial markets (equities and money   markets) opened with bearish sentiments in the first trading day of the second quarter (Q2), setting up a poor growth outlook which financial analysts have predicted may likely turn out worse than the first quarter (Q1) of 2023.

At the foreign exchange market, Nigeria’s currency, the Naira depreciated against the dollar on Monday, April 3, exchanging for N463.50 at the investors’ and exporters’ window.

The rate represents a significant fall of 0.46 per cent or N2.12 in one trading session when compared to the N461.38 it exchanged to the dollar at the close of business on Friday, March 31.

The open indicative rate closed at N461.80 to the dollar on Monday. A spot exchange rate of N466 was used for trading within the day before it settled at N463.50. The spot exchange rate is determined instantly.

A total turnover of US$ 175.40 million was traded at the official Investors’ and Exporters’ window. At the parallel market, the greenback exchanged between N745 and N750 to the dollar. The exchange rate for the Euro to Naira traded at N802 as traders claimed they bought at about N786 per Euro, and the British Pound Sterling exchanged for N925 per Pound.

Dollar had strengthened against the Naira on April 2 and 3rd, rising from N744 per Dollar on Friday, March 31, to close at N750 per Dollar on Monday. Between last Friday and Monday, the Naira depreciated by 0.8 percent or N6.

In a similar development, the equities market opened the quarter with a 9 basis points or 0.1 percent decline in the benchmark All Share Index to close at 54,184.34 points while market capitalisation which measures the value of traded equities dipped by N26.2 billion to N29.5 trillion.

The losses were largely driven by losses in the shares of International Breweries (-6.7 per cent), ETI (-3.1 per cent), and CUSTODIAN (- 8.9 per cent). As a result, the year-to-date (YTD) return moderated to +5.7 per cent down from +5.8 per cent while the month-to-date returns settled at -0.1 percent.

Activity level weakened as volume and value traded declined 47.6 per cent and 35.37 per cent to 292.6 million units and N2.4 billion respectively, and exchanged in 4,408 deals. Fidelity Bank was the most traded stock by volume and value at 79.73 million units and N426.80 million, respectively.

In terms of sectoral performance, the Insurance (+0.3 per cent) index was the sole gainer for the day as the Oil & Gas (-0.3 per cent), Consumer Goods (-0.3 per cent), and Banking (-0.3 per cent) indices declined while the Industrial Goods index closed flat.

“We expect a not too good performance from Q1. But Q2 is likely to be worse because inflation pressure, both exchange rate and interest rate are still trending higher, and the likelihood of the removal of fuel subsidy will further aggravate these factors.

“I don’t see the second quarter of this year returning positive growth figures because the indices to drive a positive growth are not here yet,” a financial analyst at Proshare Nigeria, Teslim Shitta-Bey said.

Immediate past Director General of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) and the promoter of the Council for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Muda Yusuf expressed a similar view.

“We expect a not too good performance from Q1. Q2 is likely to be much the same because of the uncertainties in the economy,” Yusuf told our correspondent.

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FG lists N4.214bn April savings bonds on NGX

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The Federal Government has listed its April 2024 Savings Bonds worth N4.214 billion on the Nigerian Exchange Limited platform.

This was disclosed in the market bulletin signed by Godstime Iwenekhai, Head, Issuers Regulation Department of NGX.

According to the bulletin, “Trading License Holders are hereby notified that the April 2024 Issue of the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) Savings Bonds was listed on Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) on May 13, 2024.”

Details of the Bonds include FGS April 2026, 1.228 million units valued at N1.228 billion at a coupon rate of 17.046 percent, while FGS April 2027, 2.986 million units amounted to N2.986 billion at a coupon rate of 18.046 percent.

The bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the Federal Government of Nigeria and charged upon the general assets of Nigeria, according to the debt office.

FGN Savings Bond is issued monthly in tenors of two and three years with quarterly payment of coupons (interest) at a rate predetermined and published by the DMO every month.

The retail savings bond product was introduced by the Debt Management Office (DMO) on behalf of the Federal Government in 2017 to democratise its activities in the bond market by making it easily accessible to Nigerians to ensure continuous development of the domestic market and bridge infrastructure deficit which has been a constraint to economic growth.

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LCFE inducts 23 commodities brokers

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As part of its capacity building functions, Lagos Commodities and Futures Exchange (LCFE), has onboarded and inducted another 23 Commodities Brokers, the fourth edition in the series, to increase the number of professionals to specialise in various asset classes in the Nigerian commodities ecosystem.

On the list of those inducted last week were the Managing Director, Dynamic Portfolio Limited, Mr Remi Lasaki and many Chief Executive Officers of stockbroking companies in Nigeria.

In his welcome address, LCFE’s Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Mr Akin Akeredolu-Ale, urged the inductees join hands with The Exchange to build a virile commodities market that shall be beneficial to all.

“LCFE is working hard to build a market that will benefit the entire Capital Market and its brokers. Each broker can select a commodity and dedicate their focus on it, thereby enhancing your company’s wealth, your individual skill set and contributing to the growth of the Nigerian Economy.

“Together, let us seize this opportunity to build a vibrant and dynamic marketplace that unlocks new possibilities for investors, enhances economic prosperity, and positions Nigeria as a leader in commodities trading.

“The Exchange is actively engaging with the Securities and Exchange Commission to obtain approval for more products like Lithium, diamond and Oil and Gas commodities. Just yesterday, we signed an MOU with a Global Certification Agent Bureau Veritas to certify lithium and other Solid Mineral commodities to be traded on LCFE. Additionally, we have made significant strides in the Cashew ecosystem, signing an MOU with the Cashew Association of Nigeria (CAN), aggregators, and a major cashew processor.

“Eko Gold also represents a pioneering investment opportunity within our commodities ecosystem, leveraging stability and transparency to diversify options, attract capital, and create value across the value chain. LCFE is fully committed to supporting its growth and providing brokers with the tools and guidance needed for effective promotion of the asset classes,” said Akeredolu-Ale.

Corroborating him, the Chairman, Securities Dealing Houses of Nigeria (ASHON), Mr Sam Onukwue, noted  LCFE was established for total transformation of commodities exchanges in Nigeria and boost the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

“The underpinning drive for establishing the exchange was the need to transform and reposition the commodities market and harness opportunities in the commodities ecosystem. This drive will enhance and crate value for all stakeholders in the ecosystem,” he said.

The newly elected President of Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS), Mr Oluropo Dada, congratulated the inductees and advised them to uphold the ethical standard of the profession and operate with skills and integrity.

Akeredolu-Ale also congratulated the new board and management of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), under the new Director General, Dr Emomotimi Agada.

In July last year, the Pan African Exchange inducted 33 commodities brokers, including the first female office holder at Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS), Mrs Fiona Ahimie.

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Tinubu asks Senate to confirm four board members of SEC

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President Bola Tinubu has asked the Senate to screen and confirm four persons appointed as board members of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the apex regulator of Nigeria’s Capital Market.

The President’s request was contained in a letter read by the Senate President, Godswill Akpabio during the plenary on Wednesday.

The appointed members of the SEC are Emomotimi Agama, Frana Chukwuogor, Bola Ajomale and Samiya Hassan-Usman.

While Agama was appointed as Director-General, Mr Chukwuogor will serve as Executive Commissioner (Legal and Enforcement) of the Security and Exchange Commission.  Ajomale was appointed as Executive Commissioner (Operations) while  Hassan-Usman was appointed as Executive Commissioner (Corporate Services).

In April, President Tinubu approved the appointment of seven persons as members of the SEC pending their confirmations by the Senate. But, only four names were transmitted to the Senate for confirmation and Tinubu did not give reasons for not including the names of the other three professionals.

In the letter, the President explained that the appointment complied with the provisions of section (1) of the Investment and Security Act of 2007.

“Confirmation of appointment of the Director-General and Commissioners of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

“By the provision of sections 3 and 5 (1) of theInvestment and Securities Act 2007. I am pleased to present for confirmation by the Senate the under-listed four nominees as Director-General and Commissioners of Securities and Exchange Commission,” he said.

The president urged the lawmakers to expedite the screening and confirmation process.

The Senate President thereafter referred the request to the Senate Committee on Capital Markets to report back to the Senate within two weeks.

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