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Inflation rate: Mixed reactions as CBN again raises MPR, CRR

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…Decision poses negative impact on equities — Security experts

…Wrongly timed, won’t tame inflation, will rather hurt investors, businesses — CPPE

…Rate hike will cut down borrowing, address rising liquidity — Chizea

By Seun Ibiyemi and Ariemu Ogaga

Again the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) increased the benchmark of Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), also known as interest rate, from 14 per cent to 15.5 per cent as a way of tackling inflation.

The increase, disclosed on Tuesday, forms the third hawkish move by the apex bank in 2022.

The latest move by the MPC is the highest in 20 years.

The committee had increased the MPR by a total of 250 basis points at its last two meetings.

The MPR is the baseline interest rate in an economy; every other interest rate used within the economy is built on it.

CBN Governor, Mr Godwin Emefiele, announced the new rate after the September bi-monthly MPC meeting in Abuja.

The MPC also raised Cash Reserve Ratio to 32.5 per cent from 27.5 per cent while holding other parameters constant.

The Asymmetric Corridor, thus, remains at +100/-700 basis points around the MPR, and the Liquidity Ratio remains at 30 per cent.

Asymmetric interest rate corridor is a new tool developed to increase the flexibility of monetary policy.

It provides the ability to make timely responses to external finance or risk sentiment shocks through active management of daily open market operations.

“The MPC noted with concern the continued aggressive movement in inflation, even after the rate hike at its meeting in May and July.

“It expressed its unrelenting resolve to restore price stability while providing the necessary support to strengthen the fragile recovery,” Emefiele said

…Decision won’t tame inflation rather will hurt investors, businesses — CPPE 

Reacting to the development, in a chat with Nigerian NewsDirect on Tuesday, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Dr Muda Yusuf, said CBN’s decision will not tame inflation, rather it will hurt investors and businesses because commercial banks will have their loans/debts reviewed.

He added that this is not the best time for CBN to review interest rates upward.

Muda advised government to consider reviewing its foreign exchange policy, address insecurity, energy cost and others as viable solutions to Nigeria’s economic quagmire.

According to him, “What I feel is that the decision of CBN is going to hurt many investors indebted to banks, because banks are going to review their interest rate. This is not the best time considering the foreign rate, energy cost and other challenges businesses are facing, especially as this will not tame inflation.

“We saw interest rate increase in past months, it didn’t change anything. The inflation in Nigeria has continue to increase,” he said.

He submitted that, “The solution is for Government to look at factors of foreign exchange policy, insecurity, financing fiscal deficit and energy cost,” not interest rate.

He noted that the Nigeria foreign exchange policy is creating more harm to the Naira.

“The only advantage of this decision is that Money market returns will improve, fixed income market also, but the stock market will be penalised,” he stated.

Rate hike will cut down borrowing, address rising liquidity — Chizea

On his part, the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, BIC Consultancy Services, Dr. Boniface Chizea said the interest rate hike will cut down borrowing, address rising liquidity within Nigeria’s economy.

According to him, “There is concern with regard to the rate hike because at the end of the day interest rates are factor costs which add to the cost of production which the economic agent based price/elasticities of demand will try to recoup which will amount to an addition on to the price of goods and services in the economy. It is reflection of the seriousness of the situation for an unusual increase of up to 150 basis points to have been made.

“The monetary authorities have no option but to jack up interest rates in an effort to control inflationary pressures. That is the wisdom with monetary authorities across the globe as it is currently being witnessed.

“Unfortunately, the authorities don’t have many options in terms of policy response against the background of inflationary pressures.

“But what to take on board here is that hiking up interest rates is a perfect response for a situation of rising liquidity within the economy.

“What it does is to make borrowing more costly so as to discourage outlying/ marginal borrowers. The calculation is that such a development will eventually reduce money supply in the economy.

“But there are inflationary situations whereby the cause of rising and galloping inflation is not due to excess liquidity. It could simply be due to rising factor costs which impacts price levels as economic agents attempt to pass on such increased costs of production.

“In the particular of Nigeria’s situation, the rate of exchange is known to be a main factor that impacts rising levels of products and services in the economy.

“But it is correct to observe that there is no economy anywhere that today does not have the problem of excessive liquidity as most economies embarked on quantitative easing to jump start productivity as a consequential result of the pandemic which shut down most, if not all, economies in the world.

“Unfortunately, as we were beginning to adjust to the end of the pandemic gearing up to resume growth and hopefully development, the Russia/Ukraine war happened on us and has gone for longer than most pundits predicted.

“In fact as things are today, the country that will have an upper hand and when and how the war will end, is anybody’s guess.

“In fact, out of frustration Vladimir Putin has warned that the threat of nuclear war is on the cards. Of course, the Americans have clearly warned him that any resort to nuclear weapon would mean that Russia will cease to exist. May we all be saved the far reaching; deadly consequences of a nuclear war.

“This war with sanctions in turn has now resulted in widespread scarcity of energy and grains resulting in spiralling inflationary pressures causing dire instability in most countries as inflationary pressure spiral out of hand, followed by weakening situation of rates of exchange.

“It is reported that the Pound Sterling is at its lowest in 40 years. As things stand now, only the American dollar; the world reserve currency is gaining unprecedented strength.

“We pray that good counsel would prevail and this war is brought to a quick end in the interest of much desired but elusive macroeconomic stability.

“We must realistically brace up for more of this hike in base interest rates as realistically the monetary authorities do not have an alternative way to manage the current situation of inflation rates spiralling out of hand,” he stated.

Decision poses negative impact on equities — Expert 

In his view, the vice president of HIGHCAP Security Limited, David Adonri said that the interest rate hike by CBN is not surprising considering the continued rise in inflation.

“Unfortunately, two previous hikes did not reverse the rise in inflation rate,” he said.

“Perhaps the situation could have been worse if the tool was not deployed in those two occasions.

“However, studies show that interest rate hike in tackling inflation has not been very effective in the past in Nigeria.

“Studies also show that mop up of excess liquidity using open market strategy of debt sale by CBN had produced better result. Perhaps, MPC chose the interest rate management tool to tighten money supply because of the huge cost associated with a mop up operation.

“While tightening of monetary policy can ameliorate inflation, its negative impact on equities and  production needs to be carefully weighed against the benefit.

“The programme may also not work if CBN is using one hand to tighten monetary policy and using the other to reflate the economy through Ways and Means advances to FGN,” he added.

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Account enrollment: Court validates CBN’s regulation, permits collection of customers’ social media handles

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…Dismisses concerns, says social media handles not protected by privacy rights

…Financial institutions cleared to collect social media handles for KYC

By Sodiq Adelakun

The Federal High Court in Lagos has ruled in favour of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in a case challenging the regulation that requires financial institutions to collect their customers’ social media handles as part of the Know-Your-Customer (KYC) procedure.

Recall that the Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project (SERAP) had urged the court to compel CBN to withdraw its directive to banks and other financial institutions.

However, in the ruling, Justice Nnamdi Dimgba struck out the suit filed by Lagos-based lawyer, Chris Eke, who argued that the regulation violates the right to privacy of bank customers.

Eke had sought a declaration that the regulation contained in Section 6(a) (iv) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (Customer Due Diligence) Regulations, 2023, is undemocratic, unconstitutional, null, and void, as it contradicts Section 37 of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria (as amended). However, Justice Dimgba ruled that the regulation does not breach the right to privacy of bank customers.

The CBN regulation is targeted to enhance customer due diligence and anti-money laundering measures, and requires banks to collect social media handles, among other personal information, from their customers.

The applicant had asked the court to grant an order of perpetual injunction, restraining CB from enforcing the regulation which requires financial institutions to request customers’ social media handles as part of normal bank customer due diligence requirements.

The CBN in its response to the suit, filed a notice of preliminary objection, challenging the competence of the suit. The apex bank also disagreed that the said regulation constitutes any interference with the private life of the applicant, as claimed.

The judgment came as Justice Dimgba dismissed a suit, stating that the notice of preliminary objection held merit and consequently struck out the case.

During the proceedings, Justice Dimgba emphasised that providing a social media handle is akin to furnishing email addresses, phone numbers, and other contact details for banking purposes.

He argued that such information aids in conducting due diligence to ascertain if an individual is suitable for conducting business with a bank.

Justice Dimgba further explained that the essence of having a social media account implies a willingness to engage in public communication, thus rendering privacy concerns unfounded.

According to him, “First, the Applicant claims that the requirements on the CBN Regulations for financial institutions to request and collect the social media handle of its customers as part of KYC infringes on his right to privacy.”

“This claim is very ambitious and amounts to a very far throw.  The said Regulations are directed to and apply to financial institutions. It does not apply to private individuals such as the Applicant.

“Even if, as appears to be argued, that the Regulations itself would inevitably affect the Applicant, this claim is speculative for the simple reason that in nowhere in the affidavit in support was it stated that the Applicant operates an account with a financial institution and that the said institution had demanded his social media handle.  So the suggestion that he would be affected by this Regulation, albeit negatively, is very speculative and at large.

“Secondly, there is also no deposition to the effect that any financial institution had begun to implement this Regulation and that its implementation had begun to create disruptions and inconvenience against the general population, in which case one could infer that the suit should be legitimated as a public interest litigation.

“Thirdly, assuming even that the banks had begun to implement these regulations, the applicant assuming he maintained any bank accounts or sought to open one, but is being hindered or irritated by the requirement of the Regulation to avail his social media handle as part of KYC, the Applicant still had a choice, which is to refuse to do business with any bank insisting on the information as part of its social media handle, but to seek other alternatives.

“Fourthly, and for all it is worth, I do not see how asking a banking or potential banking customer to provide his social media handle can ever amount to a breach of privacy.

“Granted that Section 37 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999 (as amended) provides inter alia: The privacy of citizens, their homes, correspondence, telephone conversations and telegraphic communications is hereby guaranteed and protected.

“My view is that the provision of a social media handle is of the same genre as the provision of email address, phone numbers and other means by which a potential customer of a bank can be contacted.

“Thus, it is clear from the face of the Regulations as set out above that email addresses, phone numbers and social media handles are all provided for under clause 6iv just to show that the aim was not to pry on anyone but rather to provide alternative ways by which a customer of the bank can be contacted, and or due diligence conducted on the person to determine if the person is a fit and proper person to extend banking services to.

“I do not see how this infringes on the right to privacy. I should even say that the essence of having a social media account was for one to be publicly visible communication-wise.  It, therefore, appears quite ironic, though wryly, that one can suggest that asking for information about a social media handle with which the individual exposes and immerses himself or herself in the public, can amount to a violation of privacy rights, which rights itself is all about isolation of one from public glare.

“It is also to my knowledge that even in filling some business applications,  personal information of this sort, is sometimes requested, and parties generally oblige. If it does not constitute a breach of privacy, why should it now?

“A social media handle is left at large for the world to see, being in the public space, everyone enjoys the liberty to have access to it whether or not consent was obtained. It would be highly unreasonable to hold the Respondent in breach of privacy for what other persons have access to.

“The apprehension of the Applicant of his social interactions being monitored is manifestly speculative in itself and rather incredulous to believe that the financial institutions have the luxury of time to concern itself with such frivolities.

“On the whole, if I did not sustain the NPO, I would have dismissed the suit for the reasons stated. But the NPO having been sustained, the suit is therefore hereby struck out.”

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N1.3trn power debt: Tinubu approves payment, unveils plan to liquidate gas debts

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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has given approval for the payment of N1.3trn legacy debts owed power generation companies.

Minister of Power, Chief Adebayo Adelabu speaking at the 8th Africa Energy Market Place 2024 in Abuja said that President Bola Tinubu has approved a plan to liquidate the debts.

According to him, “Mr. President has approved the submission made by the Minister of State Petroleum (Gas) to defray the outstanding debts owed to the gas supply companies to power generation companies. The payments are in two parts, the legacy debts and the current debts. For the current debt, approval has been given to pay about N130 billion from the gas stabilisation fund which the Federal Ministry of Finance will pay.”

“The payment of the legacy debt will be made from future royalties in exchange for incomes in the gas subsector which is quite satisfactory to the gas suppliers. This will allow the companies to enter into firm contracts with power generation companies.

“For the power generation companies, the debt is about N1.3 trillion and I can also tell you that we have the consent of the President to pay, on the condition that the actual figures are reconciled between the government and the companies. This we have successfully done and it is being signed off by both parties now. Majority has signed off and we are engaging to ensure that we have 100 percent sign off.

“The debt will be paid in two ways, immediate cash injection and through a guaranteed debt instrument, preferably a promissory note. This assures the companies that in the next three to five years, the government is ready to defray these debts.”

The Minister further stated that the government was working to get the distribution companies solvent and effective by unbundling their operations along state boundaries.

He insisted that the areas covered by the current DisCos were too large for them to deliver effective services to consumers.

In the same vein, the Chairman of the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), Engr. Sanusi Garba lamented the poor financial state of the DisCos, noting that it is difficult for them to raise the needed capital to invest.

Engr. Garba pointed out that the challenges facing the sector were a culmination of all past inactions and missteps by those saddled with the responsibilities of managing the sector both at policy and operational levels.

According to him, “Today when you look at distribution companies they are clearly and technically insolvent, and you also want them to raise capital in terms of debt or equity. It’s a Herculean task. I also want to mention that implementing the power sector reform requires very strong political will to implement decisions that impact on the wider public.”

However, the African Development Bank (AfDB) disclosed that it has so far spent over $450 million to support various power sector projects and programmes with another $1 billion planned to support the power sector reform effort by the government.

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Emirates Airline to resume Lagos-Dubai flights October 1

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Emirates Airline has disclosed that it will resume services to Nigeria from October 1, 2024, operating a daily service between Lagos and Dubai.

This development was announced in a statement on Thursday by the airline, which has its hub in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

The airline disclosed that flight services will be operated using a Boeing 777-300ER.

“We are excited to resume our services to Nigeria. The Lagos-Dubai service has traditionally been popular with customers in Nigeria and we hope to reconnect leisure and business travellers to Dubai and onwards to our network of over 140 destinations.

“We thank the Nigerian government for their partnership and support in re-establishing this route and we look forward to welcoming passengers back onboard,” Emirates’ Deputy President and Chief Commercial Officer, Adnan Kazim, said.

Recall that Emirates Airlines had suspended its Dubai-Lagos flights in 2022 over its inability to repatriate trapped funds in Nigeria in the heat of the diplomatic row between the two countries.

This comes after Festus Keyamo, Minister Of Aviation And Aerospace Development in a post on his X (formerly Twitter) page had disclosed that he got correspondence from Emirates Airline when he visited Salem Saeed Al-Shamsi, ambassador of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in Abuja.

 ”Yesterday, I paid a working visit to the Ambassador of the UAE to Nigeria, His Excellency, Salem Saeed Al-Shamsi at the UAE Embassy in Abuja. He handed me a correspondence from the Emirates Airline indicating a definite date for their resumption of flights to Nigeria,” Keyamo said.

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