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Nigeria’s inflation hit 33.20%

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…Inflation will come down soon — Bayo Onanuga

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) says Nigeria’s headline inflation rate increased to 33.20 percent in March 2024.

The NBS said this in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Inflation Report for March, which was released in Abuja on Monday.

According to the report, the figure is 1.50 per cent points higher compared to the 31.70 percent recorded in February 2024.

It said on a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate in March 2024 was 11.16 percent higher than the rate recorded in March 2023 at 22.04 percent.

In addition, the report said, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in March 2024 was 3.02 percent, which was 0.10 percent lower than the rate recorded in February 2024 at 3.12 percent.

“This means that in March 2024, the rate of increase in the average price level is less than the rate of increase in the average price level in February 2024.”

The report attributed the increase in the headline index for March 2024 on a year-on-year basis and month-on-month basis to increase in some goods and services at the divisional level.

It said these increases were observed in food and non-alcoholic beverages, housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuel, clothing and footwear, and transport.

Others, it said, were furnishings, household equipment and maintenance, education, health, miscellaneous goods and services, restaurants and hotels, alcoholic beverage, tobacco and kola, recreation and culture, and communication.

It said the percentage change in the average CPI for the 12 months ending March 2024 over the average of the CPI for the previous corresponding 12-month period was 27.13 percent.

“This indicates a 6.76 percent increase compared to 20.37 percent recorded in March 2023,” it said.

The report said the food inflation rate in March 2024 increased to 40.01 percent on a year-on-year basis, which was 15.56 percent higher compared to the rate recorded in March 2023 at 24.45 percent.

“The rise in food inflation on a year-on-year basis is caused by increases in prices of Garri, Millet, Akpu (uncooked fermented, which are under bread and cereals class), Yam Tuber, and Water Yam.

“Others are Dried Fish Sardine, Mudfish Dried, Palm Oil, Vegetable Oil, Beef Feet, Beef Head, Liver, Coconut, Water Melon, Lipton Tea, Bournvita, and Milo,” NBS said.

It said on a month-on-month basis, the food inflation rate in March was 3.62 percent, which was a 0.17 percent decrease compared to the rate recorded in February 2024 at 3.79 percent.

“The fall in food inflation on a month-on-month basis was caused by a decrease in the average prices of Guinea corn flour, Plantain Flour etc (under Bread and Cereals class); Yam, Irish Potato, and CocoYam.

Others are Titus fish, Mudfish Dried, Lipton, Bournvita, and Ovaltine”, it said.

The report said that “all items less farm produce and energy’’ or core inflation, which excludes the prices of volatile agricultural produce and energy, stood at 25.90 percent in March on a year-on-year basis.

“This increased by 6.26 per cent compared to 19.63 percent recorded in March 2023.

“The exclusion of the PMS is due to the deregulation of the commodity by removal of subsidy.”

It said the highest increases were recorded in prices of bus journeys within the city, actual and imputed rentals for housing, consultation fee of a medical doctor, etc.

The NBS said on a month-on-month basis, the core inflation rate was 2.54 percent in March 2024.

“This indicates a 0.37 percent increase compared to what was recorded in February 2024 at 2.17 percent.”

“The average 12-month annual inflation rate was 22.26 percent for the 12 months ending March 2024, this was 5.04 per cent points higher than the 17.22 percent recorded in March 2023,” it said.

The report said on a year-on-year basis in March 2024, the urban inflation rate was 35.18 percent, 12.11 per cent higher compared to the 23.07 percent recorded in March 2023.

The report said on a year-on-year basis in March 2024, the rural inflation rate was 31.45 percent, which was 10.37 percent higher compared to the 21.09 percent recorded in March 2023.

“On a month-on-month basis, the rural inflation rate was 2.87 percent, which decreased by 0.20 percent compared to February 2024 at 3.07 percent,” it said.

On states’ profile analysis, the report showed that in March, all items inflation rate on a year-on-year basis was highest in Kogi at 39.97 percent, followed by Bauchi at 38.34 percent, and Kwara at 38.10 percent.

It, however, said the slowest rise in headline inflation on a year-on-year basis was recorded in Borno at 25.78 percent, followed by Benue and Taraba at 28.12 percent, and Katsina at 28.32 percent.

The report, however, said in March 2024, all items inflation rate on a month-on-month basis was highest in Zamfara at 3.90 percent, followed by Abia at 3.89 percent, and Ondo at 3.75 percent.

“Borno at 1.46 percent, followed by Yobe at 1.84 percent and Adamawa at 1.85 percent recorded the slowest rise in month-on-month inflation,” NBS said.

The report said on a year-on-year basis, food inflation was highest in Kogi at 48.46 percent, followed by Kwara at 46.18 percent, and Akwa Ibom at 45.18 percent.

“Nasarawa at 33.76 percent, followed by Borno at 34.28 percent and Bauchi at 34.38 percent recorded the slowest rise in food inflation on a year-on-year basis,” it said.

The report, however, said on a month-on-month basis, food inflation was highest in Abia at 5.17 percent, followed by Cross River at 5.14 per cent, and Bayelsa at 4.75 percent.

“Cross River stood at 1.59 percent, followed by Yobe at 2.08 percent and Adamawa at 2.12 percent, recording the slowest rise in inflation on a month-on-month basis,” it said.

…Inflation will come down soon — Bayo Onanuga

Meanwhile, the Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga says while inflation still appears untamed, according to the latest report by NBS, indications are that it will slow down as the Naira continues to strengthen in the market.

He said, “NBS reported that in March 2024, the headline inflation rate increased by 1.50 percent to 33.20 percent relative to the February 2024 headline inflation rate which was 31.70 percent .

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 11.16 percent points higher compared to the rate recorded in March 2023, which was 22.04 percent .

“What is obvious in the report is that market forces are yet to reflect the strengthening of the Naira in recent weeks against the dollar. The effect will be noticed as old stocks are replaced with new ones bought with a depreciated dollar.

“The Naira had lost 43 percent of its value up till mid-February. But since then it has rallied greatly, becoming the most performing currency among global currencies.

“Governor Olayemi Cardoso of CBN and his team have their job cut for them to find ways of reining in the inflation when they meet May 20-21, about  a week to the Tinubu administration’s first anniversary.”

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Account enrollment: Court validates CBN’s regulation, permits collection of customers’ social media handles

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…Dismisses concerns, says social media handles not protected by privacy rights

…Financial institutions cleared to collect social media handles for KYC

By Sodiq Adelakun

The Federal High Court in Lagos has ruled in favour of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in a case challenging the regulation that requires financial institutions to collect their customers’ social media handles as part of the Know-Your-Customer (KYC) procedure.

Recall that the Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project (SERAP) had urged the court to compel CBN to withdraw its directive to banks and other financial institutions.

However, in the ruling, Justice Nnamdi Dimgba struck out the suit filed by Lagos-based lawyer, Chris Eke, who argued that the regulation violates the right to privacy of bank customers.

Eke had sought a declaration that the regulation contained in Section 6(a) (iv) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (Customer Due Diligence) Regulations, 2023, is undemocratic, unconstitutional, null, and void, as it contradicts Section 37 of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria (as amended). However, Justice Dimgba ruled that the regulation does not breach the right to privacy of bank customers.

The CBN regulation is targeted to enhance customer due diligence and anti-money laundering measures, and requires banks to collect social media handles, among other personal information, from their customers.

The applicant had asked the court to grant an order of perpetual injunction, restraining CB from enforcing the regulation which requires financial institutions to request customers’ social media handles as part of normal bank customer due diligence requirements.

The CBN in its response to the suit, filed a notice of preliminary objection, challenging the competence of the suit. The apex bank also disagreed that the said regulation constitutes any interference with the private life of the applicant, as claimed.

The judgment came as Justice Dimgba dismissed a suit, stating that the notice of preliminary objection held merit and consequently struck out the case.

During the proceedings, Justice Dimgba emphasised that providing a social media handle is akin to furnishing email addresses, phone numbers, and other contact details for banking purposes.

He argued that such information aids in conducting due diligence to ascertain if an individual is suitable for conducting business with a bank.

Justice Dimgba further explained that the essence of having a social media account implies a willingness to engage in public communication, thus rendering privacy concerns unfounded.

According to him, “First, the Applicant claims that the requirements on the CBN Regulations for financial institutions to request and collect the social media handle of its customers as part of KYC infringes on his right to privacy.”

“This claim is very ambitious and amounts to a very far throw.  The said Regulations are directed to and apply to financial institutions. It does not apply to private individuals such as the Applicant.

“Even if, as appears to be argued, that the Regulations itself would inevitably affect the Applicant, this claim is speculative for the simple reason that in nowhere in the affidavit in support was it stated that the Applicant operates an account with a financial institution and that the said institution had demanded his social media handle.  So the suggestion that he would be affected by this Regulation, albeit negatively, is very speculative and at large.

“Secondly, there is also no deposition to the effect that any financial institution had begun to implement this Regulation and that its implementation had begun to create disruptions and inconvenience against the general population, in which case one could infer that the suit should be legitimated as a public interest litigation.

“Thirdly, assuming even that the banks had begun to implement these regulations, the applicant assuming he maintained any bank accounts or sought to open one, but is being hindered or irritated by the requirement of the Regulation to avail his social media handle as part of KYC, the Applicant still had a choice, which is to refuse to do business with any bank insisting on the information as part of its social media handle, but to seek other alternatives.

“Fourthly, and for all it is worth, I do not see how asking a banking or potential banking customer to provide his social media handle can ever amount to a breach of privacy.

“Granted that Section 37 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999 (as amended) provides inter alia: The privacy of citizens, their homes, correspondence, telephone conversations and telegraphic communications is hereby guaranteed and protected.

“My view is that the provision of a social media handle is of the same genre as the provision of email address, phone numbers and other means by which a potential customer of a bank can be contacted.

“Thus, it is clear from the face of the Regulations as set out above that email addresses, phone numbers and social media handles are all provided for under clause 6iv just to show that the aim was not to pry on anyone but rather to provide alternative ways by which a customer of the bank can be contacted, and or due diligence conducted on the person to determine if the person is a fit and proper person to extend banking services to.

“I do not see how this infringes on the right to privacy. I should even say that the essence of having a social media account was for one to be publicly visible communication-wise.  It, therefore, appears quite ironic, though wryly, that one can suggest that asking for information about a social media handle with which the individual exposes and immerses himself or herself in the public, can amount to a violation of privacy rights, which rights itself is all about isolation of one from public glare.

“It is also to my knowledge that even in filling some business applications,  personal information of this sort, is sometimes requested, and parties generally oblige. If it does not constitute a breach of privacy, why should it now?

“A social media handle is left at large for the world to see, being in the public space, everyone enjoys the liberty to have access to it whether or not consent was obtained. It would be highly unreasonable to hold the Respondent in breach of privacy for what other persons have access to.

“The apprehension of the Applicant of his social interactions being monitored is manifestly speculative in itself and rather incredulous to believe that the financial institutions have the luxury of time to concern itself with such frivolities.

“On the whole, if I did not sustain the NPO, I would have dismissed the suit for the reasons stated. But the NPO having been sustained, the suit is therefore hereby struck out.”

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N1.3trn power debt: Tinubu approves payment, unveils plan to liquidate gas debts

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President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has given approval for the payment of N1.3trn legacy debts owed power generation companies.

Minister of Power, Chief Adebayo Adelabu speaking at the 8th Africa Energy Market Place 2024 in Abuja said that President Bola Tinubu has approved a plan to liquidate the debts.

According to him, “Mr. President has approved the submission made by the Minister of State Petroleum (Gas) to defray the outstanding debts owed to the gas supply companies to power generation companies. The payments are in two parts, the legacy debts and the current debts. For the current debt, approval has been given to pay about N130 billion from the gas stabilisation fund which the Federal Ministry of Finance will pay.”

“The payment of the legacy debt will be made from future royalties in exchange for incomes in the gas subsector which is quite satisfactory to the gas suppliers. This will allow the companies to enter into firm contracts with power generation companies.

“For the power generation companies, the debt is about N1.3 trillion and I can also tell you that we have the consent of the President to pay, on the condition that the actual figures are reconciled between the government and the companies. This we have successfully done and it is being signed off by both parties now. Majority has signed off and we are engaging to ensure that we have 100 percent sign off.

“The debt will be paid in two ways, immediate cash injection and through a guaranteed debt instrument, preferably a promissory note. This assures the companies that in the next three to five years, the government is ready to defray these debts.”

The Minister further stated that the government was working to get the distribution companies solvent and effective by unbundling their operations along state boundaries.

He insisted that the areas covered by the current DisCos were too large for them to deliver effective services to consumers.

In the same vein, the Chairman of the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), Engr. Sanusi Garba lamented the poor financial state of the DisCos, noting that it is difficult for them to raise the needed capital to invest.

Engr. Garba pointed out that the challenges facing the sector were a culmination of all past inactions and missteps by those saddled with the responsibilities of managing the sector both at policy and operational levels.

According to him, “Today when you look at distribution companies they are clearly and technically insolvent, and you also want them to raise capital in terms of debt or equity. It’s a Herculean task. I also want to mention that implementing the power sector reform requires very strong political will to implement decisions that impact on the wider public.”

However, the African Development Bank (AfDB) disclosed that it has so far spent over $450 million to support various power sector projects and programmes with another $1 billion planned to support the power sector reform effort by the government.

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Emirates Airline to resume Lagos-Dubai flights October 1

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Emirates Airline has disclosed that it will resume services to Nigeria from October 1, 2024, operating a daily service between Lagos and Dubai.

This development was announced in a statement on Thursday by the airline, which has its hub in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

The airline disclosed that flight services will be operated using a Boeing 777-300ER.

“We are excited to resume our services to Nigeria. The Lagos-Dubai service has traditionally been popular with customers in Nigeria and we hope to reconnect leisure and business travellers to Dubai and onwards to our network of over 140 destinations.

“We thank the Nigerian government for their partnership and support in re-establishing this route and we look forward to welcoming passengers back onboard,” Emirates’ Deputy President and Chief Commercial Officer, Adnan Kazim, said.

Recall that Emirates Airlines had suspended its Dubai-Lagos flights in 2022 over its inability to repatriate trapped funds in Nigeria in the heat of the diplomatic row between the two countries.

This comes after Festus Keyamo, Minister Of Aviation And Aerospace Development in a post on his X (formerly Twitter) page had disclosed that he got correspondence from Emirates Airline when he visited Salem Saeed Al-Shamsi, ambassador of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in Abuja.

 ”Yesterday, I paid a working visit to the Ambassador of the UAE to Nigeria, His Excellency, Salem Saeed Al-Shamsi at the UAE Embassy in Abuja. He handed me a correspondence from the Emirates Airline indicating a definite date for their resumption of flights to Nigeria,” Keyamo said.

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