Urgent, implementable policies required to reverse speedy GDP decline — NACCIMA
The Nigeria Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (NACCIMA) has observed that urgent and implementable policies should be considered speedily to reverse the steady decline in the Nigeria Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita.
NACCIMA had earlier observed that there has been a steady decline in Nigeria’s GDP per capita.
President of the Association, John Udeagbala, while reviewing the economy during the independence celebration recalled from relevant statistics that the country’s GDP per capita increased steadily from Independence and reached a peak of about USD1,800 on average between 1976 and 1979, and then began to decline, showing a significant drop during and after the implementation of the Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) in the 1980s.
Nigeria’s highest annual growth rate of GDP per capita occurred between 1999 and 2007, perhaps reflecting the positive effect of democracy on the economic growth and the last decade has been tough, observed Udeagbala.
He maintained that, “After two economic recessions and a global pandemic within the last decade, the Nigerian economy today, faces high inflation rate, high unemployment rate, low growth rates, mounting local and foreign debt, and a depreciating currency while still largely being import-dependent.”
He however, stated that the Nigerian economic growth since independence remained positive with the potential to match the most developed economies in the world, adding, “My view on the various developments plans of the Nigerian government, since 1960, is that we have created over time, development plans that can rival the best in the world.”
He stated further, “The First National Development Plan (1962-1968), the Second National Development Plan (1970-1974), the Third National development Plan (1975-1980), the Fourth National Development Plan (1981-1985), the Perspective Plans (1986-1990), the Rolling Plans (1990 – 1998), the National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (NEEDS, 2003 – 2007), the Vision 20:2020, and the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (2017-2020), all of which have great merit from the scholastic point of view, leading to the firm opinion by myself and most of the general populace that Nigeria’s issues are not with planning.”
The NACCIMA president blamed current state of the economy on two main characteristics of various policies, first of which he said either the policy design and implementation commenced too late or its positive effective is counteracted by the design and implementation of a different policy.
“An example of the first is the length of time between the impacts of the lockdown measures of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Nigerian private sector, the time elapsed before the announcement of the Economic Sustainability Plan (ESP), and yet more time passing before the implementation of the initiatives of the plan.”
He concluded that “An example of the second is the current implementation of policies in the foreign exchange market that totally negate any benefits or relief that may have been obtained by the implementation of the ESP.”
