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Nigeria’s reserves shrink on low oil production, moderated oil prices, capital flight

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Based on figures obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) data on the movement of external reserves, the country’s external reserves fell by US$2.96bn in H1 2023.

The figures show that external reserves fell to US$34.12bn as of 30 June 2023 from US$37.1bn as of 30 December 2022 and $33.97bn as of 20th July 2023.

Though other sources like foreign remittances and loans, Eurobonds, and foreign assets held in foreign currencies contribute to the nation’s external reserves, the major source of inflow is crude oil sales receipt and gains in crude oil prices imply an increase in the nation’s foreign exchange reserves and for maximum gains, crude oil production numbers need to increase or at best remain consistent.

Oil prices trended up last year, given the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on the global energy market but the country failed to benefit from the high oil prices due to the drop in production numbers attributed to crude oil theft and the decrepit oil infrastructure.

Again, failure to eliminate subsidies implied subsidy payments grew with rising crude oil prices as the landing cost of refined petroleum also increases with higher crude prices. In 2023 however, crude oil prices started to moderate as the impact of the war began to wane.

Recent efforts by the CBN to boost the country’s external reserves have had little or no impact.

The CBN early last year announced the RT200 FX program to boost non-oil remittance into the reserves coffers. Precisely, the guideline stipulated that exporters will be paid N65.00 for every US$1.00 repatriated and sold at the Investors & Exporters Foreign Exchange (I&E) to Authorised Dealing Banks (ADBs) for other third-party use and N35.00 for every US$1.00 repatriated and sold at the I&E window for own use on eligible transactions only.

The new administration through the acting CBN Governor ended the initiative as it contributed little to increasing the FX reserves.

Moreover, there were allegations of fraudulent practices by the exporters, worsening the FX situation. Another initiative was the CBN Naira 4-dollar scheme introduced in 2021 which entailed paying recipients of diaspora remittances through CBN-licensed IMTOS N5 for every US$1 received as remittance inflow.

Again, this was ineffective as the parallel market premium was in several multiples of the N5 incentive.

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Energy

WEOG declares September 3 as ‘World Decarbonization Day’,

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… launches an ambitious plan to plant 10 million special trees to Offset Tons of Carbon Emissions

Women In Energy Oil and Gas (WEOG) officially announced September 3 as World Decarbonisation Day. As part of the Decarbonization Initiative, WEOG plans to plant over 10 million special trees that have higher rates of carbon absorption.

Oladunni Owo, National President of WEOG in Nigeria and CEO of Blackgold Energy Authorities made the declaration during the Decarbonization Initiative Press Conference on Tuesday in Abuja.

WEOG is a forum created to promote gender diversity and inclusion in the male-dominated energy, oil, and gas industry in Nigeria.

Speaking on the theme “Collaboration, Innovation, and Action for a Low Carbon Oil & Gas Industry,” Owo noted that despite advancements in human investments and industrialization, there is more carbon in the atmosphere than is sustainable for human life.

She said, “Suddenly, we started hearing words like the depletion of the ozone layer, global warming, and carbon pollution and emissions.”

She explained that decarbonisation is a process where carbon can be converted, stored, captured, and sequestered, keeping it within the oil well or underground so it does not escape into the atmosphere.

“With decarbonisation, our energy oil and gas resources can still be very useful. Our research also showed that oil and gas are not just about fuels (petrol, diesel, DPK, and other forms of fuels).

“Oil and gas are also about fertilizers, polyester, rubber, petrochemicals, and several other products that are not necessarily fuel.”

She further stated that the decarbonisation agenda of WEOG focuses on making the exploration and production of oil and gas clean to minimize environmental impact.

Owo said, “The solution is decarbonisation, and currently, ongoing research on how this can be achieved shows that the simplest and most achievable method is tree planting.

“These activities can be carried out by everyone, including the high and mighty.”

Owo emphasized that in Africa and Nigeria, there is a significant energy gap, so a diverse range of energy resources, including solar, wind, hydrogen, nuclear, and gas, is needed to close these gaps.

This is why WEOG is initiating the concept of bringing decarbonisation to the forefront.

“We want to elevate this to another level and let it become another Conference of the Parties (COP), spreading from Nigeria to other parts of the world,” Owo said.

Regarding World Decarbonisation Day, Owo stated that WEOG initially picked June 24, 2024, but due to interest from various groups, including international bodies, an unveiling was done in Houston, Texas, during the recently concluded OTC.

Following this, the President of Nigeria also showed interest, leading to the selection of September 3, 2024, as the official date.

President Bola Tinubu is expected to make the main declaration, and September has been declared Decarbonisation Month, with Decarbonisation Week from September 3 to 5 in Abuja.

Owo has therefore invited stakeholders, industry experts, and potential partners to join and support WEOG in the advocacy.

She also confirmed that WEOG has initiated the National Decarbonisation Park.

Prince Nwosu also spoke, encouraging women in the oil and gas field to embrace the initiatives and visions of WEOG.

“It cannot be well if you are not aware,” he said, urging women to sustain the advocacy about climate change and its impact.

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Oil Bidding: Why NUPRC prefers production bonus over signature bonus

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By Ibrahim Musa

The Federal Government has emphasised production bonus, which refers to the payment by an operator to a host country upon achievement of oil and gas production, as a strategy for attracting investors to bid for Nigeria’s oil blocks.

Previously, the government relied on a high signature bonus, which refers to a single, non-recoverable lump sum payment made upfront by oil companies for their rights to develop oil blocks, as an option for maximising revenue generation, thus discouraging investors with limited resources from bidding.

Currently, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, NUPRC which regulates activities in the nation’s oil and gas industry, has removed all entry barriers to attract massive investments.

This strategy aims at growing oil and gas production, enhancing Nigerian Content Development, attracting Foreign Direct Investment, contributing to long-term global energy sufficiency, expanding opportunities for gas utilisation, and creating employment opportunities while adding value to government and investors.

This is based on the Commission’s consideration of developments around the world, especially the sustainable rise in Capital Expenditure, CAPEX, going into funding renewables in the spirit of the global energy transition as well as the level of Signature bonuses in other nations.

In the Middle East and North Africa, the signature bonus currently stands at about $10 million while Thailand and Indonesia have about $3 million (minimum) and N1.5 million, respectively, meaning that Nigeria’s oil and gas landscape is now in alignment with the rest of the world.

This means that Nigeria will be able to complete many projects, leading to the creation of many multiplier effects, including production capacity, employment, contracts, community development, local content and gas-to-power, thus providing more energy to households and businesses nationwide.

Consequently, the NUPRC has been widely commended. The Executive Chairman, African Energy Chamber, NJ Ayuk, said, “Nigeria has established a robust framework that is set to attract foreign exploration companies with modernised fiscals that are competitive for deepwater exploration. We the AEC believe the most lucrative balancing point between creating a welcoming environment for international companies and achieving Nigeria’s own national goals is important.”

“Key to this bidding round will be the role of independents and indigenous players when it comes to exploration. The bidding round also paves the way for gas monetisation that will bring amazing benefits to Nigeria and also international markets.”

Similarly, the Executive Director, Emmanuel Egbogah Foundation for Petroleum, Prof. Wumi Iledare, said: “A high signature bonus is regressive. It does make a petroleum province with a high signature bonus less attractive.”

On his part, the National President, Oil and Gas Service Providers Association of Nigeria, OGSPAN, Mazi Colman Obasi, said: “Investors need a conducive environment to put their money. Once the right environment exists, foreign capital will begin to flow in.”

Also, speaking at the recent pre-bidding conference in Lagos, the Commission Executive, NUPRC, Engr. Gbenga Komolafe, said: “A review of Welligence Energy Analytics reports on Licensing rounds across the globe including Brazil, Guyana, Angola, Middle East, North Africa, SouthEast Asia, etc, revealed that the era of huge front-loaded signature bonuses is over.

“Accordingly, Nigeria under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, as the Minister of Petroleum Resources has proactively and intuitively vacated barrier to entry for investment in exploration blocks being offered, in both the 2022 deep offshore bid round and the 2024 licensing round, in line with international best practices.”

“President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Minister of Petroleum Resources, Nigeria have embarked on a transformative agenda that aligns with the most stringent global standards and commitments. The recent Presidential Executive Orders issued in March this year, aimed at improving the efficiency and attractiveness of Nigeria’s oil and gas sector, were generously targeted to incentivize oil and gas development, introduced measures to balance the implementation of Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry Content Development Act, 2010 to ensure that oil and gas development is not hindered by local content bottlenecks. The Executive Orders also include directives on the reduction of contracting costs and timelines to enhance the global competitiveness of our oil and gas industry and achieve a higher rate of return on oil and gas investments.

“Nigeria is endowed with abundance of Crude Oil and Condensate Reserves and of Natural Gas Reserves representing above 30 percent and 33 percent  respectively of the entire Oil and Gas reserves in Africa aside abundant mix of other renewable energy resources. In a bid to exploit and optimise these abundant Hydrocarbon resources, Section 7(t) of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) empowers the NUPRC, the Industry Regulator to conduct bid rounds for the award of PPLs and PMLs under the Act and applicable Regulations.”

“It is on this premise that the Federal Government of Nigeria through the NUPRC recently announced the commencement of the 2024 Licensing Round both in-country and outside the shores of the nation. It would be recalled that we commenced the announcement at the maiden edition of the NEITI Dialogue Session, 2024, where the bid processes were thoroughly interrogated by civil society and the media.”

“This was subsequently followed by the announcement of the commencement of the bid round at the 2024 OTC in Houston, the roadshow in Miami organised by Zeste Advisory, African Energies Summit in London organised by Frontier Network and Invest in Africa Energy Summit in Paris organised by Energy Capital Power. The Commission aims to project and attract robust local and foreign investors who will be participating in the bid exercise.

“The NUPRC on behalf of the Federal Republic of Nigeria is committed to conducting the licensing round in a fair, competitive and transparent manner and ensuring a level playing field for both indigenous and international investors. Our approach is underpinned by the robust legal framework of the Petroleum Industry Act 2021(PIA), which ensures compliance with best practices to boost investors’ confidence.

“In keeping with the provisions of the PIA and regulations made under the Act, the Commission has issued a licensing round guideline and published a licensing round plan for the blocks. This round introduces some meticulously selected blocks across diverse geological spectra from the fertile onshore basins to the promising continental shelves and the untapped depths of our deep offshore territories. Each block has been chosen for its potential to bolster our national reserves and stimulate economic vitality. Subsequently, on 13th May 2024, the Commission opened a dedicated bid portal to allow prospective bidders to register/submit Pre-Qualifications documents on or before the stipulated 25th June 2024 deadline.”

He also said: “Interestingly, the Commission, in partnership with its multi-client partners, has acquired more geological data resulting in the identification of more prospective blocks. The newly identified blocks will be added to the pool of blocks originally scheduled for the bid exercise, and their details will be made available on the bid round portal.”

“In addition to these blocks, the seven deep offshore blocks from the 2022 Mini-Bid Round Exercise which covers an area of approximately 6,700 km in water depths of 1,150m to 3,100m shall also be concluded along with this Licensing round.”

Ibrahim Musa is an Energy Analyst

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PETAN to introduce seal of quality to weed middlemen frustrating local patronage

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…As NCDMB unveils procedures for implementation of Presidential directive on Local Content

By Olaseinde Gbenga, Abuja

The Petroleum Technology Association of Nigeria (PETAN) has disclosed plans to introduce a seal of quality for Nigerian companies to weed out middlemen frustrating local patronage in the sector.

The Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Petroleum Technology Association of Nigeria (PETAN), Engr. Wole Ogunsanya made this known at a panel session at the ongoing Nigeria Oil and Gas(NOG) Energy week conference and exhibition in Abuja on Tuesday.

Speaking, the PETAN Chairman said, “The Nigerian content has been a business enabler as it has enhanced local operators to offer services in the oil and gas industry that has hitherto offered by multinationals.”

According to him, in the oil and gas Industry, PETAN is essentially the sponsor of local content law, and in contributing to shape that law, in oil and gas assets in Nigeria.

He noted that Nigerian companies should have first consideration, “and we are happy to see that these opportunities are birthing strategic collaborations by lowering barriers of entry for local operators, retaining millions of dollars’ worth of investment in the country, and building Nigerian brands that work in and beyond Africa.”

The Chairman expressed his grief on ‘middlemen businesses’ that cast shadow on the competencies and integrity of Nigerian oil and gas operators, adding that “PETAN is ready to partner with relevant stakeholders such as Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB) and Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) to weed them out through the introduction of a PETAN’s seal of quality with international recognised certification company to serve as additional layer of authenticating those listed on the Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB’s) NOGIC JQS portal and Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC’s) National Data Repository.”

Echoing similar sentiments, the Executive Secretary, Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB), Engr. Felix Omatsola Ogbe hailed the Presidential Directive on Local Content Compliance Requirements as crucial for enhanced competitiveness and mitigation of risks in regard to unqualified contractors, just as he unveiled five focal areas for implementation of the policy initiative.

The Executive Secretary spoke at the Nigerian Content Seminar, the opening day of the Nigerian Oil and Gas (NOG) Energy Conference, in Abuja.

The NCDMB boss listed the areas as ‘Promoting the Utilisation/Growth of In-country Capacities,’ ‘Enhancing the Cost Competitiveness of Oil and Gas Projects,’ ‘Non-inclusion of Intermediary Entities Lacking the Essential Capacity to Perform from the Nigerian Content Plan (NCP),’ ‘Approval of Nigerian Content Plan (which consists of contractors that meet the legal definition of Nigerian companies and demonstrate capacity to execute projects within Nigeria),’ and ensuring that ‘Entities acting solely as intermediaries, with no demonstrable capacity to execute the project or activity, shall not be approved.’

Engr. Ogbe assured that under the first focal area, ‘Promoting the Utilisation/Growth of In-country Capacities,’ “the Board would continue to leverage its existing processes “to assess and verify the capacity of companies, facilitating and carrying out in-country capacity audits in collaboration with all relevant stakeholders.”

On enhancement of cost competitiveness of oil and gas projects, he said, among other activities operators in the oil and gas industry would only be permitted to source capacities out-of-country “only after in-country capacity gaps have been identified.”

In regard to the third focal area, namely, ‘Non-inclusion of Intermediaries Lacking the Essential Capacity,’ Engr. Ogbe stated that the “Tender opportunity’s pre-qualification and technical evaluation phases” would be used to eliminate entities so identified as incapable of performing.

Explaining the Board’s procedure in respect of ‘Approval of Nigerian Content Plan (NCP),’ he noted that international players’ participation would be deemed appropriate only “when the necessary Nigerian Content level is unavailable locally or inefficient.”

While assuring that entities acting solely as intermediaries with no demonstrable capacity to execute a project would not be approved, he reiterated that the Board remains “steadfast in its dedication to guaranteeing that any services provided will generate value in the country,” and that it would “evaluate current policies and guidelines to encourage the development of indigenous capabilities and guarantee that these policies and guidelines are not misused, misapplied, or misinterpreted.”

In all, he observed with satisfaction that the Presidential Directive and the Board’s modalities are in sync with the objectives of its 10-Year Strategic Roadmap, which aims to increase Nigerian Content to 70 percent by 2027.

Among recent landmark accomplishments of the Board, as identified by the NCDMB boss, were the inauguration of Amal Technologies Gas Leak Detection Device and Printed Circuit Board Manufacturing facility in December 2023 in Abuja, the commissioning of the Kwale Gas Gathering (KGG) Hub and NEDOGAS Plant in June in Delta State, and the Final Investment Decision (FID) on the Ubeta Field Development Project by TotalEnergies Exploration and Production Nigeria Limited and its Joint Venture partner, Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited.

Engr. Ogbe seized the occasion to congratulate winners and participants in the Golf Tournament organised as part of the NOG Energy Week. The golf tourney is sponsored by the NCDMB and the Executive Secretary emphasised that the event is an excellent platform to provide clarity, expositions, tips and guidance to industry players on the provisions of the NOGICD Act.

Speaking during one of the breakout sessions, the Director of Projects Certification and Authorization Certificate (PCAD) at the NCDMB, Engr. Abayomi Bamidele explained that NCDMB had enabled oil and gas through its policies, collaboration and investments. He indicated that about 1000 Nigerian service companies were registered on the NOGIC JQS in 2011, but the number had increased to 13,000, while the number of operating companies had equally increased to 120 firms.

He charged service companies to only accept jobs they have the technical capacity to execute, and to eschew the practice of bidding for every job in the oil and gas industry. He also emphasised that Nigerian Content is not a major cost driver in Nigeria, noting that other elements like security and managing community stakeholders are big cost drivers.

In his contribution, the General Manager, Planning Research and Statistics, Mr. Silas Omomehin Ajimijaye affirmed that subsequent legislations enacted in the oil and gas industry after the Nigerian Oil and Gas Industry Content Development (NOGICD) Act had reinforced the NOGICD Act.

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