Nigeria’s oil production declines to 1.56bpd in October — NUPRC
Nigeria’s oil production in October 2023 has suffered a decline to 1.56 million barrels of crude oil per day (bpd) following an increase earlier in September.
According to data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), Nigeria produced 1,350,573 of crude oil, 48,461 of blended condensates and 163,038 of unblended condensates, totalling 1,562,072 for the month.
Meanwhile, in September 2023 Nigeria produced 1.6mbpd which is the highest so far in 2023 for the country.
As it stands, Nigeria still continues to grapple with its 1.7mbpd oil production quota from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) for the year.
Though the OPEC has reviewed the quota downward to 1.38mbpd, this production still affects the country’s oil revenues and access to foreign exchange even as the country recently approved a supplementary budget to cover up for the failed projections in revenue to fund the 2023 budget.
However, recall that the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) had stated last week that the country has rejigged its crude oil sales target market to Europe.
Executive Director, Crude & Condensate, NNPC Trading Limited, Maryamu Idris said in a panel presentation at the Argus European Crude Conference in London, that the crisis between Ukraine and Russia has impacted Nigerian crude oil inflows in the international oil market, leading to a dip in demand from the once-dependable Asian market at the onset of hostilities in the Eastern bloc.
Speaking further, she explained that in addition to the substantial price shocks impacting commodity and energy prices globally, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has triggered a situation where India, a primary destination for Nigerian grades, increased its appetite for discounted Russian barrels to the detriment of some Nigerian volumes.
“To illustrate the extent of this shift, Nigeria’s crude exports to India dwindled from approximately 250,000 barrels per day (bpd) in the six months preceding the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine to 194,000 in the subsequent six months afterwards. And so far, this year, only around 120,000 bpd of Nigerian crude volumes have made their way to India,” she said.
On the other hand, she noted that the Nigerian crude flow to Europe has increased in a bid to fill supply gaps left by the ban on Russian crude, pointing out that six months before the war, 678,000 bpd of Nigerian crude grades went to Europe, compared to 710,000 bpd six months later and 730,000 bpd so far this year.
“This trend makes it evident that Nigerian grades are increasingly becoming a significant component in the post-war palette of European refiners. Several Nigerian distillate-rich grades have become a steady preference for many European refiners, given the absence of Russian Urals and diesel. Forcados Blend, Escravos Light, Bonga, and Egina appear to be the most popular, and our latest addition — Nembe Crude – fits well into this basket. This was a strong factor behind our choice of London and the Argus European Crude Conference as the most ideal launch hub for the grade,” Idris also said.
On production challenges, Idris remarked that, like many other oil-producing countries, Nigeria had faced production challenges aggravated by the COVID-19 pandemic, including reduced investment in the upstream sector, supply chain disruptions impacting upstream operations, ageing oil fields, and oil theft by unscrupulous elements. These factors, she said, contributed to production declines in the second half of 2022 and early 2023.
Idris, however, noted that the challenges are fast becoming a thing of the past with the introduction and implementation of a new framework for the domestic petroleum industry (the PIA of 2021), rejuvenating the business landscape, and re-positioning NNPC Limited to adopt a more commercial approach to the management of the nation’s hydrocarbon resources.
According to her, NNPC Limited has secured vital partnerships with notable financial institutions to promote upstream investments to restore and sustainably grow production capacity in the coming years.
“NNPC Limited is championing concerted efforts in partnership with host communities and private stakeholders to address the security and environmental challenges in the Niger Delta to further fortify production growth. Suffice to say we have already begun seeing significant progress on the rebound. In September 2023, Nigeria recorded its highest crude oil and condensate output in nearly two years, reaching 1.72 million barrels per day. This, we believe, is just the beginning of our production rebound.
