Issues of the Monent
2027 Election: How Labour Party’s crisis may hinder Peter Obi’s chances
By Toheeb Babalola
The Labour Party (LP), Nigeria’s third-force party, is experiencing internal conflicts that mirror the themes of Lawuyi Oguniran’s play, Eégún Aláré.
The play tells the story of ÌÌj¹Ì Larinnaka, a talented masquerade who leaves his pregnant wife and community to seek success elsewhere, promising to return. His son, ÌÌj¹ì Lade, follows in his footsteps and surpasses him in influence.
Similarly, Peter Obi, the LP’s presidential candidate, has gained popularity beyond his party’s initial stronghold in the South.
However, the party’s leadership crisis and internal conflicts threaten its unity and political success.
The Yoruba proverb, ‘Tí ilé kò bátò, ìta kòtò’ (if in-house affairs settle, one should expect the worst outside), highlights the importance of resolving internal issues to achieve external success.
In a strange village, Ìj¹ Lade performed in front of retired masquerades and King, he did not eulogise the retirees while performing. To entertain the large crowd, he transformed himself into a whale, while a man with charm was incantationing. With the effect of charm, a whale could not return back to human being (Ìj¹ Lade). Just as Peter Obi established ‘Obidients,’ a political movement that supports Obi’s presidential ambitions around the world. Members of this group used social media to push their Man’s agenda on political gladiators, leveraging information disorder.
The man, later identified as Ìj¹ Larinnaka, heard the crying whale chanting a dirge with his name as the father. He (Larinnaka) rushed out and confessed that he charmed Ìj¹ Lade into a whale. He sobbed at having unintentionally destroyed his son with his hand. This is simply a scenario currently happening between the Labour Party and its 2023 presidential candidate, Peter Obi.
Once the Labour Party emerged as the third force and began to expand across the nation for the first time since its founding, the party’s leadership began to face problems that caused the public to view the party negatively.
In terms of the party leadership crisis, Nigerians had heard enough of court processes between the factions of Julius Abure (current National Chairman) and Lamidi Apapa (South Vice-Chairman) flying on the national dailies, which seemed inappropriate for their third-force. After the election, Abure was accused of financial misconduct and forgery, which resulted in his suspension. Meanwhile, Apapa was named acting National Chairman by the court, which eventually forced Abure’s supporters to resign and conflict at the party’s headquarters. However, Julius Abure is still presiding over the party.
The party’s stakeholders disintegrated as a result of the presidential candidate’s and his Obidients’ mentality of supporting Julius Abure while ignoring Southwest leaders, thrusting Peter Obi into the leadership crisis. Oneness as a major goal to success has been lost in the party.
Cross-referencing the Southwest, it is evident that the party’s executives in the states of Oyo, Osun, and Ogun are grovelling before the ruling parties for jobs and contracts, betraying the trust the electorate bestowed upon them during the election. And there needs to be unity among the leaders in each of the six (6) geopolitical zones for Peter Obi to emerge a President under the Labour Party in 2027.
Justifying the positions of the Labour Party (LP) and the Nigerian Labour Congress (NLC), they differ from each other academically in terms of their goals. Both, though, share certain parallels.
The NLC is a pressure group that defends worker interests, while LP’s primary goals are member welfare and political power. Ironically, the former is driving and manipulating the controversy that is taking place in the latter, where citizens find it difficult to know the positions of both.
People saw a scene during the Edo State gubernatorial election a few months ago where NLC President Joe Ajero accused Abure of mismanaging the party’s finances, treating the union with disdain, and operating the party like his own company, opposing the National Chairman to hesitate in hand-picking political candidates. NLC, claiming to be co-founded and involved in the LP’s decisions in the public, devalued the party politically.
In the future, more defections are being encouraged in front of the 2027 General Election by the recent behind-closed-door meetings between Peter Obi and the PDP’s gladiators, Atiku and Bukola Saraki. People on the streets predicted that Peter Obi would forfeit his ambition and Obedient movement to once again run as Atiku’s running mate.
Kenneth Okonkwo, a chieftain and Peter Obi’s campaign spokesperson, coming out of his shell to spark defection is an affirmation of his boss’s (Peter Obi) position in the coming months. He said, “Those people are clowns. It is the greatest joke I have ever seen in a political party and then you want to position yourself as a party of integrity. You cannot give what you don’t have. “Aburi and his cohorts, their tenure is over. Let Aburi and his cohorts get behind me. They are workers of iniquity. I don’t rate them. That executive is in charge of the secret society. They should be apprehended.”
Nigerians had heard Peter Obi distinguishing between the Obidient Movement and LP, which he referred to as distinct entities. It is sufficiently clear that his supporters follow him everywhere he goes, leaving the party empty.
It is also clear that if Peter Obi remains in the Labour Party until 2027 without resolving the party’s leadership crisis in all regions, he and his supporters will fall again. Remember how Ìj¹ Larinnaka injured his son (Ìj¹ Lade) with his hand.
To wrap up this discussion, I would like to share a quote from renowned sociologist and political theorist, Max Weber that emphasises the significance of unity in political success.
“Politics is a strong and slow boring of hard boards. It takes both passion and perspective.”
This quotation emphasises how important it is to work together as a team and be persistent in order to accomplish political objectives. While perspective demands a cohesive vision, passion denotes the emotional drive—both essential for long-term political success.
Issues of the Monent
Cholera epidemic: 54 years of recurrence, disease exposes Nigeria’s poor preventive measure
…Nigeria records 2,102 cases, 63 deaths across 33 states
…Southern States contribute 90% of cases — NCDC Director
By Rauf Oyewole
Cholera, a preventable and treatable disease, has continued to plague Nigeria for decades, causing unnecessary loss of life. Since the first reported case in 1970 and subsequent resurgence in 1990, cholera has remained a significant public health concern in the country. According to a 2009 report by the United States’ National Library of Medicine, titled “Cholera Epidemiology in Nigeria:
According to health experts, cholera is caused by vibrio cholera and it continues to be a global threat to public health and a key indicator of lack of social development. Once common throughout the world, the infection is now largely confined to developing countries in the tropics and subtropics. It is endemic in Africa, parts of Asia, the Middle East, and South and Central America. In endemic areas, outbreaks usually occur when war or civil unrest disrupts public sanitation services.
In 2010, the outbreak was severe which started from the northern part of Nigeria, spreading to the other parts and involving approximately 3,000 cases and 781 deaths.
In Nigeria, the infection is endemic and outbreaks are not unusual. In the last quarter of 2009, it was speculated that more than 260 people died of cholera in four Northern states with over 96 people in Maiduguri, Biu, Gwoza, Dikwa and Jere council Borno state. Most of the Northern communities of Nigeria rely on hand dug wells and contaminated ponds as sources of drinking water. Usually, the source of the contamination is other cholera patients when their untreated diarrhoea discharge is allowed to get into water supplies.
According to the NLM, about 75 percent of people infected with V. cholera do not develop any symptoms, although the bacteria are present in their faeces for 7-14 days after infection and are shed back into the environment, potentially infecting other people. Among people who develop symptoms, 80 percent have mild or moderate symptoms, while around 20 percent develop acute watery diarrhoea with severe dehydration.
Speaking in Abuja on Tuesday, the Director General of the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Jide Idris said that a total of 2,102 suspected cholera cases and 63 deaths have been recorded across 33 states and 122 local government areas since the beginning of the year as of June 30, 2024.
He noted that the case fatality rate is at 3.0 percent. He said seven of the top 10 states (Lagos, Bayelsa, Abia, Zamfara, Bauchi, Katsina, Cross River, Ebonyi, Rivers and Delta) that contribute about 90 percent of the cases are Southern States.
Jide said, “As of 30th June 2024, a total of 2,102 suspected cases and 63 deaths have been recorded across 33 states and 122 LGAs with a case fatality rate of 3.0 percent since the beginning of the year. Of the top 10 States (Lagos, Bayelsa, Abia, Zamfara, Bauchi, Katsina, Cross River, Ebonyi, Rivers and Delta) that contribute about 90 per cent of the cases, seven of them are Southern States.
“The National Cholera Multisectoral Emergency Operation Centre activates an array of subject matter experts and provides strategic coordination, meets daily and provides periodic situation reports for stakeholders.
“This also ensures effective mobilisation, harmonisation and distribution of resources to support the affected states. This is done through the relevant thematic areas of response that cover coordination, surveillance, case management, infection prevention and control, risk communication and community engagement, Water Sanitation and Hygiene, Vaccination, Logistics, Research with a costed Incidence Action Plan for the response developed and being implemented.”
He added, “These will help facilitate rapid communication, data analysis, and decision-making. It will also ensure that we deploy resources efficiently, strengthen surveillance and diagnostic capacity, enhance treatment of affected persons, and intensify public awareness and community engagement activities.”
In 2022, of the 4,153 cases, 80 Nigerians lost their lives – mostly in the North. In 2023, the nation recorded 3,683 suspected cases with 128 deaths.
The NCDC DG, Dr. Jide had earlier hinted that the country ran out of vaccine, he said that Nigeria has placed an order for more cholera vaccines from donor agencies, even though the date of delivery is still unknown.
No fewer than 4,364 people have died out of the 139,730 Nigerians suspected to have been infected with the disease across the country in the last four years. The incidence rate was derived from an analysis of the weekly cholera situation reports released by the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control between 2021 and 2024.
While speaking with NewsDirect, an Infectious Disease Consultant at the Abubakar Tafawa Balewa University Teaching Hospital (ATBUTH), Dr. Ibrahim Maigari, warned of indiscriminate consumption of contaminated food, water and fruits on streets.
Speaking on the prevention of cholera, Maigari said that to control the infection, “We need to separate the organisms that cause cholera and then, the food and water that we consume. When these are clean, we are far from cholera. We have to ensure constant clean potable water, free from any germs –especially cholera micro organisms.
“Secondly, our environment needs to be cleaned. The third prevention is personal hygiene. There communities where they largely depend on unsafe sources of water like well water, contaminated streams and even government water are exposed to contamination.”
He said that one of the challenges of ending cholera is communities where open defecation is being practised.
“When defecation is done in the open, it allows the agents of cholera organisms to spread. In fact, they spread it to where it is not expected.
“Look at the people who sell fruits and expose them to flies. People need to wash them properly before consuming them. The worst is watermelon that has been cut without protection from flies and people take them. It’s the easiest way of taking cholera. We advise people to take precautions,” he said.
This recent outbreak underscores the ongoing public health challenge posed by cholera in Nigeria, necessitating coordinated efforts to mitigate its impact and prevent further spread.
Cholera outbreak recurrence in Nigeria and rate of casualties puts Nigeria as a nation with poor precautionary measures.
Benue Govt to investigate Ukum protest, sets up commission of enquiry
Ogun Customs command generates N12.8bn in six months
