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OPEC woos Namibia as African nation prepares to produce from 2030

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The OPEC+ oil producers group is eyeing Namibia for possible membership as it sets up what could be Africa’s fourth-largest output by the next decade.

An African industry official and sources said on Tuesday.

TotalEnergies (TTEF.PA), opens new tab and Shell (SHEL.L), opens new tab in recent years have made discoveries estimated at 2.6 billion barrels, setting the stage for the southern African country to plan production from about 2030.

The initial focus for OPEC+ would be to see Namibia join its Charter of Cooperation, the sources said, a grouping that engages in longer-term dialogue about energy markets.

Eventually OPEC, the core oil exporters group that with Russia and others forms OPEC+, would like to see Namibia become a full member, said NJ Ayuk, executive chairman of the African Energy Chamber.

This Ayuk said had been involved in facilitating talks between the two sides.

OPEC had begun its “charm offensive,” he said, adding that the outcome of the talks were unclear at this stage.

OPEC did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al Ghais was quoted in February as saying OPEC was holding talks with several nations on joining the charter, without naming them.

OPEC in a tweet at the time said Al Ghais met Namibian Minister of Mines and Energy Tom Alweendo at a conference in Nigeria where the prospect of OPEC and Namibia working together “under the umbrella of the charter of cooperation” was raised.

In 2023, Namibian Petroleum Commissioner Maggy Shino expressed interest, opening a new tab in joining the OPEC “family,” according to a report by S&P Commodity Insights, known as Platts.

Yet in March, Minister Alweendo said that OPEC membership was not on the cards and did not want to be drawn on whether Namibia was considering joining the charter.

“We haven’t been approached by anyone to join OPEC. OPEC members are petroleum exporting countries and we are not there yet,” he said.

“That is a consideration only after we have started to produce,” Alweendo added.

Talks between OPEC and the Namibian government will likely continue in late April, however, when OPEC’s Al Ghais is scheduled to deliver an address to a Namibian energy conference, said Ayuk, who is also a speaker at the event.

About 2.6 billion barrels of oil have been discovered in Namibia this decade so far, Pranav Joshi of energy consultancy Rystad Energy told Reuters.

In addition to Total and Shell, firms including Chevron (CVX.N), opened a new tab, Rhino Resources, Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas and Galp Energia (GALP.LS), opened a new tab conducting exploration and appraisal activities.

Based on the existing discoveries, Namibia is looking at 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) of peak production capacity by the next decade, Joshi estimated.

That is smaller than Angola’s output of some 1.1 million bpd but Joshi noted Namibia’s number could rise with further successful exploration.

Angola had quit OPEC in December of 2023 over a lower-than-expected output ceiling it received from OPEC+ whose members are curbing production to help support prices.

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Communities demand accountability  of 3% HCDT from OML54

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Members of OML54 communities have asked Aradel Holdings Plc, to make available the details of the 3percent host community development fund accruable to the community as enshrined in the Petroleum Industry Act, PIA.

The people who made the demand during a town hall meeting with the management of Aradel Holdings Plc, insisted that the host communities ought to know how much has accrued to them from the 3 percent HCDT fund, either quarterly or annually.

Aradel, formerly known as Niger Delta Petroleum Resources Plc, NDPR is the operator of OML54 and Aradel Modular Refinery in Ahoada East and Abua/Odual Local Government Area of Rivers State. The company in the past, has been at loggerheads with its host communities leading to endless protests.

Speaking, the General Secretary of Ogbele community, Comrade Solomon Oyagiri, lamented that Aradell Holdings has not accorded the community its due, despite developmental promises made by its pioneer Managing Director, Aret Adams.

Oyagiri cited the continuous refusal by the company to give details of the 3 percent development fund accrued to it as one of the vexing situations created by the company, and queried the non payment of equitable fees from badges and vessels trucking at the community river bank.

He alleged that the selective justice created to cover the fraud and mismanagement of the host community trust fund was the bane of development, progress and the cause of myriads of litigations to contest injustice and marginalisation by the people and urged the company to align with genuine community representatives.

“A Post Environmental Impact Assessment, as a result of hazardous pollution and accompanying economic deprivation and social benefits to numerous fishermen and women arising from Aradel’s trucking operations on its coastal lines has not been carried out.

“We frowned at the continuous refusal by Aradell Holdings Nigeria Plc to implement the agreement reached with the community after the September 2022 peaceful protest. Even some staff of Aradel have teamed up with some of our community members to thwart the reached agreement.

“Aradel has refused to employ our sons and daughters from the host families into managerial positions; there is lack of total employment, refusal to adhere to the Local Content Act and impoverishment of our people through lack of award of contracts.”

Responding, the Community Relations Manager, Aradel Holdings Plc, Mr Blessing Okpowo, promised to take their demands to the management and assured the people that the community’s maternity home would soon be upgraded to a cottage hospital where healthcare services would be accessible and affordable.

Okpowo urged the people to be united in their demands and affairs, saying, “only unity of purpose can attract the needed development,” and assured the people of a regular interface with the community leadership.

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FG reverses halt on transfer of electricity oversight to states

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The federal government has reversed its decision to halt the transfer of electricity regulatory oversight to state governments.

On Monday, Adebayo Adelabu, the Minister of Power, addressed the two-day stakeholders’ workshop organised by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) in Lagos.

The workshop, focused on the implementation of the Electricity Act, was attended by the 36 state commissioners of energy and power.

The Minister’s remarks followed an announcement made a few days earlier regarding plans to pause the transfer of regulatory autonomy to states and to conduct a test phase with select states.

This announcement had led to confusion about whether the minister had the authority to issue such a directive contrary to the Act.

However, at the workshop, Adelabu clarified that the federal government would adhere to the law.

“Granting regulatory autonomy to states is a provision of the new Act, and no individual can override the Act. It’s a legal provision that must be respected by all state officials,” he stated.

Adelabu also noted that the workshop aimed to address potential challenges during the transition.

In April, NERC had transferred oversight of the electricity market to three states: Ondo, Ekiti, and Enugu.

The Electricity Act requires NERC to transfer oversight within six months after a state complies with the legal process.

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Oil inches upward following report surrounding the death of Iran’s president

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Oil prices saw a slight increase on Monday  following report surrounding the death of Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi, his foreign minister and others in a helicopter crash. The development is seen to have contributed to the overall market sentiment, which also included last week’s gains.

Brent oil futures for July saw a 0.3 percent rise, reaching $84.19 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures experienced a 0.2 percent increase, trading at $79.70 a barrel.

In a tragic turn of events, a helicopter carrying Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian crashed over the weekend in the mountainous terrain of northwestern Iran, with both leaders report dead.  The loss of President Raisi comes at a time of heightened tensions between Iran and Israel, following a series of strikes exchanged earlier this year.

Prior to the  report, crude oil prices had been experiencing an upward trend due to several key factors. Positive indicators such as the possibility of U.S. interest rate cuts and improving demand in China have contributed to this increase in appetite for crude.

Furthermore, the U.S. government’s announcement of its purchase of approximately 3.3 million barrels of oil to refill the strategic petroleum reserve has also bolstered market confidence. However, ongoing instability in the Middle East and its potential impact on oil supplies remains a significant concern, keeping Brent oil prices above the $80 mark for most of 2024.

As the week unfolds, oil markets are exercising caution in anticipation of crucial announcements regarding U.S. interest rates and the economy. The release of the Federal Reserve’s late-April minutes and speeches from several Fed officials would also be closely scrutinised for insights into potential policy shifts.

Additionally, the upcoming Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) meeting on June 1st is expected to provide updates on the cartel’s plans to maintain ongoing production cuts, which could have a significant impact on global oil supplies.

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