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Editorial

Minimum wage: Will Tinubu’s tripartite committee proffer a lasting solution?

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The year 2023 was a truly unpleasant moment as it was dominated by the removal of fuel subsidies, higher inflation that affected real disposable incomes and devaluation of the naira, hike in transportation among others.

To be specific, the removal of subsidies on petroleum products further worsened the challenges faced by working people. It unleashed severe pain and contributed to galloping inflation even as it increased inequality and poverty.

Besides, the sharp and continuous rise in food prices owing to a combination of factors like the weakening naira, climate change, recent economic reforms and escalating insecurity that has led to food production shortfall.

According to the most recent National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, the constant surge accelerated headline inflation to 28.2 percent in November 2023 and food inflation to 32.8 percent.

Similarly, the World Bank, in its latest Nigeria Development Update report, said sluggish growth and accelerating inflation in Africa’s biggest economy raised the poverty rate by 46 percent in 2023 from 40 per cent in 2018, with the number of poor Nigerians put at 104 million.

The global bank also said the country’s inflation eroded the N30,000 minimum wage by 55 percent, thus reducing household expenditure.

Just yesterday the federal government inaugurated a 37-man tripartite committee on national minimum wage with a mandate to recommend a new wage for the country.

The committee was inaugurated at the Council Chamber of the Presidential Villa in Abuja sequel to the approval by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The committee, to be chaired by a former Head of Civil Service of the Federation, Alhaji Bukar Goni Aji, has membership across federal and state governments, private sector employers and the organised labour.

Representatives of the federal government are the Head of Civil Service of the Federation, Dr Folashade Yemi-Esan, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy Wale Edun, Minister of Budget and Economic Planning Atiku Bagudu, and Minister of State for Labour and Employment Nkeiruka Onyejeocha (representing the Minister of Labour and Employment).

Others include the Permanent Secretary (General Services Office) in the Office of the Secretary to the Government of the Federation, while the chairman of the National Salaries, Income and Wages Commission (NSIWC), Mr Ekpo Nta, would serve as the secretary.

Representatives of state governments are Governor Mohammed Umar Bago of Niger state (North-Central), Governor Bala Mohammed of Bauchi state (North-East), Governor Umar Dikko Radda of Katsina state (North-West), Governor Charles Soludo Anambra state (South-East), Governor Ademola Adeleke of Osun state (South-West), and Governor Otu Bassey Edet of Cross River state (South-South).

Representatives of the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) are the Director-General, Mr Adewale-Smatt Oyerinde, Chuma Nwankwo and Mr Thompson Akpabio, while the Nigeria Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (NACCIMA), will be represented by its national president, Asiwaju Michael Olawale-Cole, National Vice President, Mr Ahmed Rabiu, and National Life President Chief Humphrey Ngonadi.

The National Association of Small and Medium Enterprises (NASME) is represented by the President and Chairman of the Council, Dr Abdulrashid Yerima, Hon Theophilius Nnorom Okwuchukwu (private sector representative), and Zonal Vice President (North/West) Dr Muhammed Nura Bello.

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) is represented by its Director-General, Segun Ajayi-Kadir, the Human Resource Director of Nigerian Breweries, Mrs. Grace Omo-Lamai, and Managing Director Dozzy Oil and Gas Limited Lady Ada Chukwudozie.

Representatives of the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) are its President, Comrade Joe Ajaero, General Secretary of the NLC, Comrade Emmanuel Ugboaja, Prince Adeyanju Adewale, Comrade Ambali Akeem Olatunji, Comrade Benjamin Anthony and Professor Theophilius Ndukuba.

The Trade Union Congress of Nigeria (TUC) is represented by its President, Comrade Festus Osifo, Deputy President I, Comrade Tommy Etim Okon, Deputy President II, Comrade Kayode Surajudeen Alakija, Deputy President III, Comrade Jimoh Oyibo, Secretary-General, Comrade Nuhu A. Toro, and the chairperson of the Women Commission, Comrade Hafusatu Shuaib.

The declaration by the Federal Workers Forum (FWF) has declared that there will be no extension of its 14-day ultimatum to the federal government on payment of the wage award and the quest for a new national minimum wage.íFWF stated this in a communiqué issued Monday at the end of an online meeting of the forum signed by the Forum National Coordinator, Comrade Andrew Emelieze.

The forum said the federal government had not been sincere with the payment of the wage award and the quest for a new national minimum wage.

“We have reviewed the situation at hand as regards the payment of the wage award to federal government workers, the new minimum wage and the state of the nation. It was generally agreed that the federal government has not been sincere with the payment of the wage award and the quest for a new national minimum wage,” it said.

“Government has been speaking with different lips. At a time, the government claimed that she will clear all the outstanding arrears of the wage award owed and at another time, the Accountant General of the Federation (AGF) has come to give reasons why the government cannot pay the wage award,” the FWF said.

They said, “Most workers only got the September payment and most of the federal workers are now being owed four months wage award arrears. Most unfortunately, the purpose of putting in place the wage award has been defeated.

“The question has been that if the government is treating the issues of 35,000 naira wage award for federal workers this way, then there is no hope of the actualisation of a living wage for the Nigerian workers within this period.”

The communiqué further stressed that “workers have endured this hardship enough and we have decided that there shall be no extension of the 14 days ultimatum.

“We are left with no other option other than to call out all our members to exercise their constitutional rights to protest against the mass suffering faced by workers.

“If after seven days the government fails to respond, the protest will lead to a total shutdown of all federal government Secretariat nationwide from Monday, February 5th, 2024. We will not take any flimsy excuse for not paying the wage award as put by the AGF neither are we going to tolerate the staggered payment as done before nor accept part payment of the wage award again.”

They further stressed that “the protest is continuous until all outstanding wage awards are cleared. That workers nationwide gather in front of all the federal government Secretariat nationwide and occupy it.”

Ultimately, the federal government in collaboration with the state and local governments need to accord with priority the issue of increasing the salary of workers to tally with the skyrocketed inflation in the market circle. This is because once their standard of living is addressed, it will affect cash flow in the market.

It is pertinent that at this time of formation of this committee, it is our hope there will be consideration for workers at the state level too. Also the informal sector, where the largest number of the Nigeria population lies should also be considered by all tiers of government thereby reducing the poverty index.

Editorial

Minimum wage Saga: FG, let the people go…

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For years, the narrative has been the same — the economy withers and the common man cries out for reprieve, only to be met with an endless array of impediments. When it is time to intercede for the poor, Nigerians are met with pointless bureaucracy and palliatives. Foreign aid is rendered ineffectual thanks to the gauze-hand of leaders, through which it all slips through into an oblivion of their own invention.

In April 2024, the headline inflation rate rose to 33.69 percent, up from 33.20 percent in March 2024, marking an increase of 0.49 percent points according to the Nigeria Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Yet, to raise the minimum wage to a level that will help beat back hunger in the poorest families has become a problem for the government.

Per the International Monetary Fund, IMF, a determined and well-sequenced implementation of government’s policy intentions would pave the way for faster, more inclusive, resilient growth in Nigeria. Without reforms — such as raising the minimum wage — to enhance the business environment, improve security, implement key governance measures, develop human capital, boost agricultural productivity, Nigeria’s growth potential will never leave the realm of imagination.

“These reforms are crucial to boost investor confidence, unlock Nigeria’s growth potential and diversify the economy, and address food insecurity, and underpin sustainable job creation,” IMF noted in its recent report, adding that over the last decade, limited reforms, security challenges, weak growth and now high inflation had worsened poverty and food insecurity in Nigeria.

“While Nigeria swiftly exited the COVID-19 recession, per-capita income has stagnated. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slowed to 2.9 percent in 2023, with weak agriculture and trade, and in spite of the improvement in oil production and financial services.

“Growth is projected at 3.3 per cent for 2024 as both oil and agriculture outputs are expected to improve with better security. The financial sector has remained stable, in spite of heightened risks. Food insecurity could worsen with further adverse shocks to agriculture or global food prices. Adverse shocks to oil production or prices would hit growth, the fiscal and external position, and exacerbate inflationary and exchange rate pressures,” the IMF said.

Yet, on Wednesday the pattern continued. Negotiations reached a deadlock due to the government’s perceived unwillingness to engage in fair discussions with Nigerian workers. The NLC National President, Joe Ajaero, in a sense is right to say that the government’s proposal of N48,000 as the new minimum wage is an insult to Nigerian workers.

It is no surprise that the labour unions are demanding a higher minimum wage to reflect the current economic realities and alleviate the suffering of Nigerian workers. The stalemate in negotiations may lead to industrial action, which could have far-reaching consequences for the economy.

Many labour in vain for decades for peanuts, only to be denied their pensions in old age. Of course, the Nigerian worker will down his tools in the face of great poverty, and seeming apathy from the government. The relationship between wage rate and employment is well established. Most revolutions throughout the world are dependent on the satiation of the labour force. The Federal Government should maintain an atmosphere of charity and responsibility. Like the Israelite Moses said millennial ago, let our people go.

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Editorial

Inflation as major threat to life security

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Millions of Nigerians are groaning because of the devastating inflationary pressure that is making it impossible for many to consume the minimum calories required for a healthy living.

It is known that Nigeria’s macroeconomic environment has become very harsh in its diminutive impact on the purchasing power at the disposal of the citizenry.

Many cannot also conveniently afford to transport themselves to their workplace or move around for routine activities.

Meanwhile, the price of other payment obligations for services such as house rents, school fees, utilities (including cable television), health and recreation services are rising on a daily basis.

This shows that the quality of life enjoyed by Nigerians is deteriorating as poverty becomes more pervasive and endemic.

According to official statistics, the November inflation rate was 14.89 percent and it is fast heading towards the 15 percent mark.

Meanwhile, the Rural inflationary pressure is also climbing as the rate climbed to 12.28 percent in July even when the price of Premium Motor Spirit and electricity tariff had not been hiked. Prices are just rising freely.

This applies to production inputs (except labour), consumer durable, agricultural products as well as services.

This unfortunately is the case irrespective of the basket of goods one uses as a measure outside the standard yardstick.

A close look at the policy framework of the government shows that the recent surge in general price level is not unconnected with structural bottlenecks, fiscal and monetary policies, deregulation, and trade policies as well as inefficiency on the part of regulatory agencies.

The government has for too long paid lip service towards unbundling of the shackles of growth and development such as poor budgetary implementation on capital projects, outdated laws and a toxic business environment that constrain the economy.

This has indeed, slowed down economic growth and resulted in shortage of goods and services and their attendant impact on inflation.

The government seems to be heating up the system by keeping its spending open-ended even as it cries of inadequacy of revenue to finance its expenditure obligations.

The disconnect between recurrent account, capital account and public debt operations is certainly having a destabilising effect on public finance operations of the country.

This has given rise to fiscal domination that describes the aggregative impact of the uncoordinated expenditure activities of all the governments in our strange three-tier federal arrangement.

It also appears that the Central Bank is losing sight of its inflation-targeting monetary policy which has been on its front burner for more than two decades now.

This is certainly not what the nation needs now when virtually all the macroeconomic variables are in disarray.

Here, attention of CBN must be called to its Naira management policy especially as it affects the regimented devaluation and depreciation which impact heavily on the domestic and external value of the currency.

The external value requires attention considering that the Nigerian economy carries a monolithic production base and import orientation.

The gross loss in the value of Naira is having a horrible impact on the life of Nigerians as misery and hopelessness characterise the daily songs of the lower income strata and whatever is left of the middle class.

It must be pointed out also that the government policy on agriculture in general and rice production appears to suffer a backlash.

Whereas local production has increased appreciably the farmers and agricultural marketers are engaging in exploitative pricing practice.

They simply jack up their prices arbitrarily. This is particularly the case with respect to rice where the price of the local varieties is at par with the foreign brands.

The recent increase in the price of premium motor spirit and electricity tariff have surely added more salt to the injury.

These two products are directly tied to production and distribution of goods and services and as such raising their individual prices simply translates to increasing the price of everything that is bought and sold in the open and underground economies.

Unfortunately, all these are happening when the nominal income of the average citizen has either stagnated or declined as the minimum wage has not been paid by many states of the federation.

The same is characterised by controversy in those states and some federal agencies that have implemented the new salary regime.

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Editorial

The need for increased investment in Energy sector

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The Energy Commission of Nigeria (ECN) has taken a significant step towards achieving energy transition, efficiency, and reliability in the country with the unveiling of two strategic documents – the National Energy Plan (NEP) and National Energy Master Plan (NEMP).

These documents, which have been gazetted by the government, demonstrate the determination of President Bola Tinubu’s administration to diversify the energy sector and power Nigeria’s industries, driving economic development and attracting investments.

The ECN’s move is a welcome development, especially given the country’s chronic power supply challenges.

President Tinubu’s announcement on January 1, 2024, that improving power supply is a major priority, was a clear indication of the government’s commitment to addressing this critical issue.

The energy adviser, Olu Verheijen, has also outlined the government’s plans to revamp the energy sector, and these documents provide a clear roadmap for achieving this goal.

The NEP and NEMP are comprehensive documents that outline the country’s energy vision, goals, and strategies for achieving energy transition, efficiency, and reliability.

They provide a framework for the development of the energy sector, including the promotion of renewable energy sources, energy efficiency, and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.

The gazetting of these documents demonstrates the government’s commitment to transparency and accountability in the energy sector. It also provides a clear direction for stakeholders, including investors, policymakers, and consumers, on the country’s energy priorities and goals.

The ECN’s strategic documents are a bold step towards achieving energy transition, efficiency, and reliability in Nigeria. They demonstrate the government’s commitment to diversifying the energy sector and powering the country’s industries, driving economic development and attracting investments.

We commend the ECN and the government for this initiative and look forward to seeing the positive impact it will have on the country’s energy landscape.

Nigeria, the giant of Africa, is stumbling in the dark, crippled by a lingering electricity shortage that threatens to suffocate its economy and stifle its growth.

The country’s generating capacity is anemic, and its dilapidated grid is a ticking time bomb, wasting precious energy and leaving millions in the lurch. The infamous “generator economy” moniker is a stark reminder of Nigeria’s reliance on noisy, polluting generators to power homes and businesses.

Lagos, the commercial hub, is an example of this energy poverty. With a population of 25 million, it receives a paltry 1,000 megawatts from the national grid, a fraction of what Shanghai, China’s commercial powerhouse, enjoys with a similar population.

The disparity is glaring, highlighting Nigeria’s backwardness in this critical sector.

The government’s recent policy attempts to tackle this challenge by urging electricity distribution companies to raise additional equity to address the $2.2 billion capital deficit. This move aims to improve services and increase liquidity in the power sector.

However, the plan to hike tariffs has sparked outrage, as Nigerians fear the added burden on their already strained finances.

As the government grapples with this complex issue, it must confront the harsh realities of its citizens’ lives. The power sector’s woes are not just an economic problem but a humanitarian crisis, affecting the daily lives of millions.

It’s time for a comprehensive approach that addresses the root causes of this energy poverty, invests in sustainable solutions, and prioritises the welfare of its people.

Nigeria’s power predicament is a call to action, a clarion cry for innovative solutions, and a reminder that the future of Africa’s largest economy hangs in the balance.

Will the government rise to the challenge, or will the country remain mired in darkness? The answer lies in the hands of its leaders and the resilience of its people.

Insufficient electricity generation in Nigeria necessitates a shift towards renewable energy sources, despite challenges in funding and infrastructure.

In pursuit of energy targets, the Minister of Innovation, Science, and Technology, Uche Nnaji, has announced the issuance of two significant bonds totaling $10.6 billion and $15 billion respectively. A third tranche, aiming for $50 billion, will focus on projects fostering the transition to low carbon and climate-resilient growth.

These efforts are commendable for bolstering investment initiatives outlined in Nigeria’s energy transition plan, offering opportunities for stakeholders across the value chain. Collaboration with stakeholders, as emphasised by Mustapha Abdullahi, Director General of the ECN, is essential to deepen investment in the sector and ensure energy security through diversification.

Meanwhile, inadequate infrastructure and limited access to electricity have held the nation back, while the world moves forward. It’s time for a comprehensive approach that prioritises diversification, efficiency, and availability to ensure reliable access for all.

Renewable energy is the key to unlocking a sustainable future, as the world invests in this direction. The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas) highlights the potential for 30 million new jobs globally in the energy sector through investment in energy transition. Nigeria must tap into this opportunity to create jobs for its youth.

Energy efficiency and sustainability are crucial for a modern economy. A robust public-private partnership is essential to leverage cooperation, creativity, and technology to address energy difficulties and secure a sustainable future.

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