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Private equity firms ignore Nigeria in quest to invest in energy business

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As big banks wind down hydrocarbon  investment, some private equity firms that back oil and gas investments are recording an upward trajectory in the role they plan in the global energy business; a development Nigeria might miss due to multiple challenges threatening the potential of the country’s oil sector.

A new report by the US-based Private Equity Stakeholder Project showed that energy-focused private equity firms, including NGP Energy Capital Management, Pickering Energy Partners and Quantum Energy Partners have been sending articles, reports and presentations to investors highlighting the importance of oil and natural gas during the transition to renewables.

The report showed firms, which include Apollo Global Management, Blackstone Group, Brookfield Asset Management, Carlyle Group, KKR and Warbug Pincus, collectively oversee $216 billion worth of fossil-fuel assets on par with the amount of money that big banks put into fossil fuels last year.

“Private equity is buying up excessive amounts of fossil fuel assets – oil wells, pipelines, power plants, operating them out of the public eye and exploiting gaps and loopholes in regulation,” the report titled Investing in Climate Chaos said.

The private equity firms argue that the renewable energy sector cannot expand capacity quickly enough to attain net-zero emissions by 2050 without oil and gas businesses funding this global transition.

“We need to quit just focusing on replacing all hydrocarbons with wind and solar. We’ve got to ask ourselves, ‘What’s practical? What can we really do?’” said Wil VanLoh, chief executive of Houston-based Quantum. He added that the world has never experienced a complete energy transition before but instead added new sources of energy over time.

“It’s kind of make-believe to think that we can actually replace three forms of energy this time,” VanLoh said, referring to coal, oil and natural gas.

Fossil fuels will still be necessary even as the world shifts to cleaner energy, firms argue in marketing to investors.

While the above development signals an investment boom for oil-dependent countries like Saudi Arabia, it means little or nothing for Nigeria owing to industrial-scale crude theft, uncertainty and the government’s inability to fully implement the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA).

Analysts say the Nigerian government has done little to fix the vexing issues in the oil sector. It took 20 years to pass the Petroleum Industry Bill, and it has taken one year to even commence the implementation of most of its provisions.

The aspects that can be implemented are done to skirt around contentious issues. For example, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation has been transformed into a company from July 1 with a mandate to become commercial but it will continue to pay petrol subsidy with 100 percent of its revenue after paying salaries.

The President Muhammadu Buhari government’s inability to rein in crude theft is the biggest turn-off for investors.

Data sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed foreign investment in Nigeria’s oil and gas dropped by 82 percent to a new low of $1.93million in the second quarter of 2022.

“Investment in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector is at its lowest ebb since independence,” Ola Alokolaro, partner, energy and infrastructure at Advocaat Law Practice, said.

The country’s total oil and condensate output dropped below one million bpd in August, data from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission showed.

In early September, Italian oil giant Eni agreed to acquire two producing fields in Algeria for an undisclosed sum, including stakes in two major natural gas projects, as it plans divestments away from Nigerian onshore assets, a development that illustrates how Nigeria is losing the war to attract investments into its oil sector to smaller oil-producing nations.

For a frontier market with the population of Nigeria, oil majors not looking in its direction should be a big worry for the government as it has dire implications for social welfare and economic growth.

“Private capital flows into Nigeria, consisting mainly of foreign direct investment, have slowed, hindering the financing of much-needed infrastructure and natural resource access projects,” Buhari admitted while speaking at the Nigeria International Economic Partnership Forum on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA 77) in New York.

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Energy

Unbundling of TCN will improve access to electricity — Experts

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Some power experts have commended the Federal Government’s decision to unbundle the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN), saying this will improve access to electricity.

They spoke in separate interviews with journalists on Sunday in Lagos.

Recall that the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), on May 3, unbundled the TCN into two separate entities, raising hopes for a more efficient and reliable national grid, potentially leading to increased access to electricity.

NERC, acting under the provisions of the Nigeria Electricity Act, ordered the establishment of an Independent System Operator (ISO) to take over the market and system operations functions of TCN.

According to the order, TCN will retain its transmission service provider licence and continue to maintain power transmission infrastructure across the country.

Chairman, Customer Consultative Forum of Festac/Satellite Town, Dr Akinrolabu Olukayode, described the unbundling as a welcome development to further improve the power sector.

According to Olukayode, the attempt is striving at ensuring a balanced system where the monopoly enjoyed over these few years by TCN is dissolved to allow for new hands who will inject fresh ideas, devoid of monotonous inclined perennial failure as witnessed in recent times.

“The effectiveness of power transmission will largely be determined by the quantum of synergy between power generating channels and structure for maintenance of the grid.

“The generating plants should be energised to full capacity scale,” he said.

The expert urged the government to set 60 percent capital funding to subsidise expenditure on procurement from the budgetary allocation and offer shares for public subscription to keep the sector lubricated.

He said that TCN was partially progressive but undue government influences created rooms for bureaucracy which made its operations ladened with hiccups.

Olukayode said that there was a need for the government to declare a state of emergency in power that will usher in fresh hands to rid the system of saboteurs.

Also, National Coordinator, All Electricity Consumers Protection Forum, Mr Samuel Ilori, described the unbundling of TCN as good and welcoming, while advising the government to do due diligence and avoid the replica of what happened in distribution companies.

Ilori said that the unbundling is expected to improve service delivery and effectiveness, adding that many of the equipment and substations in the sector are moribund and obsolete.

He said that injection of money and expertise to the area of transmission might help stem the tide of incessant collapse of grids and allow what was being generated to be distributed.

“My advice is to scrap the privatisation of the distribution companies in 2013 by President Jonathan administration.

“If proper foundation was laid then and things were done according to the laid down rules of the Bureau of Public Enterprise (BPE) then as headed by Mrs Bolanle Onagoruwa, we will not be having this mess.

“The Siemens contract as of today remains elusive as we do not know what is going on.

“Government needs to declare a state of emergency in the sector to be able to set it on a recovery path,” he added.

A power expert, Mr Toluwalase Godwin, said the new operator would manage electricity demand and supply, ensuring the delivery of electricity where and when needed, without bias, at the lowest cost possible, while ensuring reliability and avoiding grid instability and collapse in the process.

“This means that NISO will be responsible for dispatch management, international transmission, capacity management, and wholesale market in the near future.

“Potentially signalling the near end of life for Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc, which currently oversees some of NISO’s functions,” he said.

He noted that this development is moving to a more liberalised market where NISO would be increasingly responsible for capacity auction, real-time energy market, ancillary services procurement, day-ahead market, spot market, reserve management, pricing and settlement.

“The separation of responsibilities between entities allows for a concentrated focus, with transmission services management predominantly revolving around technological aspects, while system operations are entrenched in energy economics.”

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FG pegs electricity supply to international customers at 6% of available grid generation

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The Federal Government  has mandated system operators in the Nigerian power industry to supply not more than six percent of total available grid generation per hour to international customers or off-takers.

In a new order by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) to electricity generation companies on Saturday, the regulator stated that the priority system of prioritising international customers and limiting distribution companies (Discos)’ offtake during times of imbalances in the grid is both inefficient and inequitable.

According to the new order, the aggregate capacity to be allocated by electricity generation companies to international off-takers in the next six months shall not be more than 10 percent of Genco’s generation capacity.

It stated, “The System Operator shall ensure that the maximum load allocation to international off-takers in each trading hour shall not be more than six percent of the total available grid generation.

“The aggregate capacity that can be nominated by a generating plant to service international off-takers shall not be more than 10 percent of its available generation capacity unless in exceptional circumstances a derogation is granted by the Commission.”

Furthermore, the new order mandated the system operators and the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) to install IoT meters at all offtake and delivery points of Eligible Customers, bilateral supplies, cross-border trades, and outgoing 33kv feeders of the DisCos to provide real-time data on supply to offtakers.

The new order also mandates the system operator to publish hourly readings of adherence to grid instructions to check for violations of offtake contracts and also publish the previous day’s hourly log reading to market participants.

The Federal Government has observed that electricity generation companies in times of low grid availability prefer to supply to international customers sometimes above the allocated offtake on the bilateral contracts.

The NERC noted that such practices have caused untold hardship to Nigerians due to irregular supply to Discos, especially during times of high demand, hence this order.

By the order, the Federal Government is prioritising electricity supply to local customers- industrial and residential- following the hike in electricity tariff to Band A customers and the need to ensure the set hours of electricity supply to different categories of local customers is met.

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Over 500mmscf/d gas supply projects to be commissioned — Presidency

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The Presidency has disclosed plans to commission over 500mmscf/d gas supply projects across the country.

This is in line with the country’s move to transition from fossil fuels to gas according to its Decade of Gas initiative.

In a press statement on Friday, the spokesperson to the President, Ajuri Ngelale outlined three projects the President is billed to commission.

The statement reads: “In line with his commitment to significantly leverage gas to grow the economy, President Bola Tinubu will commission three critical gas infrastructure projects being undertaken by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) and partners.

“The projects support the federal government’s effort to grow value from the nation’s gas assets while eliminating gas flaring.

“The delivery of the projects was accelerated from the inception of the administration in keeping with the overall objective of deepening domestic gas supply as a critical enabler for economic prosperity.

“The projects lined up for commissioning include: (1) AHL Gas Processing Plant 2 (GPP – 2) – 200mmscf/d. This project is an expansion to the Kwale Gas Processing Plant (GPP – 1), which currently supplies about 130MMscf/d of gas to the domestic market. The processing plant is designed to process 200MMscf/d of rich gas and deliver lean gas through the OB3 Gas Pipeline. This additional gas supply will support further rapid industrialization of Nigeria. ”The plant will also produce about 160,000 MTPA of Propane and 100,000 MTPA of Butane, which will reduce the dependency on LPG Imports. The AHL Gas Plant is being developed by AHL Limited, an incorporated Joint Venture owned by NNPC Limited and SEEPCO.”

“(2) ANOH Gas Processing Plant (AGPC) – 300MMscf/d. The ANOH gas plant is an integrated 300MMscf/d capacity gas processing plant designed to process non-associated gas from the Assa North-Ohaji South field in Imo State. The plant will produce dry gas, condensate, and LPG. The gas from ANOH gas plant will significantly increase domestic gas supply, leading to increased power generation and accelerated industrialisation. The ANOH Gas Plant is being developed by ANOH Gas Processing Company, an incorporated Joint Venture owned by NNPC Limited and Seplat Energy Plc on a 50-50 basis.

“(3)ANOH-OB3 CTMS Gas Pipeline Project. The project involves the engineering, procurement, and construction of 36”x23.3km ANOH-OB3 Project. The Transmission Gas Pipeline will evacuate dry gas from the Assa North-Ohaji South (ANOH) primary treatment facility (PTF) to OB3 Custody Transfer Metering Station (CTMS) for delivery into the OB3 pipeline system. About 600MMscf/d is estimated to be available from two separate 2 x 300MMscf/d capacity gas processing production trains from AGPC & SPDC JV.”

“When commissioned, the projects will increase gas supply to the domestic market by approximately 500mmscf/d, creating a better investment climate and promoting balanced economic growth cumulatively.”

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