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Flooding projections: Local, State & Federal Govts must observe their statutory duties

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The annual records of flood incidents with associated damages and losses in Nigeria have kept on taking toll year-in-year-out. Across the Country, the narratives of flood disasters, apparently may not have spared any part. While flooding is known to be a phenomenon that can be found taking its course in communities in any nation around the world, the Nigerian case has been troubling with poor attention to address the disaster, particularly, where they are mostly preventable and man-made at large.

The ugly events speak to the significance of emergency approach to develop overarching measures to prevent future occurrences of such mishaps. It is believed that while torrential and heavy downpour of rain cannot be ruled out, yet they can be managed from constituting disasters to prevent the tolls of losses taking records yearly.   Projections of more incidents of flooding have been given to further take course this year. For instance, the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) has predicted excessive rainfall in Northern states of Nigeria, including Katsina, Borno, Sokoto, Kano, Jigawa, Gombe, Yobe, Bauchi and Adamawa, which is likely to make them experience flooding in August, September and October this year. The Director-General of the agency,Professor Mansur Matazu, while addressing journalists at NiMet’s headquarters, Abuja, on Tuesday, 16th August 2022, had further mentioned that parts of Kebbi, Zamfara, Kaduna, Nasarawa, Taraba and Yobe States may face medium risk of experiencing flooding within the same period. Matazu also identified the South-Western states of Lagos, Ogun, Osun, Oyo and parts of Ekiti and Edo states in South-South as areas likely to experience normal to abnormal rainfall within the same period.

The fear of flood mishaps have raised alarm, as projections of torrential rainfall have come up in view. It is indisputable that it is only by proactive disposition to raise response mechanisms that the incidence of disasters can be prevented from projected heavy downpours. Such response much be overarching and systemic.

However, controversies may not seem not to take place as to whose responsibility it is to build the architecture to prevent flood disasters. The Presidency, had on Tuesday, 23rd August 2022, barely a week after NiMet’s heavy downpour projections, challenged States to “face their duties of managing the flooding within their jurisdictions.”

In a statement signed by the Senior Special Assistant to the President on Media and Publicity, Garba Shehu, the Presidency had argued that those calling on the Federal Government to respond to every outbreak of natural disaster do not display an understanding of Nigerian law. The Presidency explained that the Local, State and Federal governments have a sizeable budget at their disposal, allocated monthly for dealing with state-level natural emergencies and national-level natural emergencies.

The Presidency stated that the legal structure of the response mechanism on natural disaster mandated the Central Government to directly address national-level emergencies and that Local Government Councils and the states were the first responders in all situations. In the statement entitled ‘Flooding in several Nigerian states and the triple response structure,’ the Presidency stated that: “Calls for the Federal Government to respond to all outbreaks of natural disaster do not just display an understanding of Nigerian law. While not a national-level emergency, the ongoing flooding is an emergency nevertheless. Nigerian lives and property are at stake. We call on Governors of those states that have swung into action and engaged the necessary gear to continue with their efforts, and those that have not, to immediately face their duties of managing the flooding within their jurisdictions – that is, the job that the President, Governors and Council Chairmen have been elected to do. It is not clear why some of the State Governments in question are not already drawing upon those funds to tackle the current emergency, and the general population is misguidedly calling on the Federal Government to intervene in all situations. If those monies are, for whatever reason, no longer available, the affected States and Local councils must immediately contact the relevant authorities to explain what has happened with those funds.”

Explaining the revenue allocation formula, the Presidency noted that 2.32 per cent of derivation funds is allocated for ecology and disaster management. “Of this amount, the 36 States and the FCT get 0.72 per cent, the 774 Local Governments get 0.6 per cent, adding to 1.32 percent, leaving a balance of one per cent to the government of the federation. By the law of land, NEMA takes 20 per cent of the amount allocated to the Federal Government. The North-East Development Commission collects 10 per cent, the National Agricultural Land Development Authority, 10 per cent, and the National Agency for the Great Green Wall, 0.5 per cent, leaving 0.55 of the one per cent to the government at the centre for ecological protection and disaster management.

“While expressing his concerns over the hardships being faced by people due to this natural calamity, the President noted that the National Emergency Management Agency had written to each of the 36 states of the federation through the States’ respective Governors advising on the appropriate action to take in view of the gloomy forecasts of the rains this year.

“The Federal Government will continue to work closely with the State Governments to provide all possible assistance to overcome this challenge, the President expects at the same time it must be seen as a shared responsibility. The response to emergencies must stand on the three-legged structure. Instead of making headline grabbing calls, politicians should take the trouble to find out from the Ministries and State Governments what steps are being taken in the face of these challenges,” the Presidency had held.

It is essential for the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) as well as the  Emergency Management Agencies of the States, particularly those highlighted above in the projections, to intensify adaptation, mitigation and other response mechanisms to foreclose eventualities of flood disasters that may lead to  human and economic losses. The necessity to commence and/or strengthen, as the case may be, awareness campaigns is pertinent. Leveraging response strategies by engaging field extension workers for possible response activities in preparation, particularly for high risk areas is pertinent. Insensitivity to the significance of hydrological and meteorological, as well as urban and physical planning architectures, have been noted to be responsible for major environmental disasters in the Country, particularly flooding, experienced recurrently across States in the Country. To prevent the occurrences of mishaps from such disasters as flooding, critical attention must be paid to the mechanisms of these architectures, while displaying  responsiveness to building these structures remains pertinent. Such responsiveness demands conscious efforts that must be sustained and developed for a long lasting solution to the problem of flooding, among other disasters.   It is pertinent, however, to note that only an architecture of overarching response system is required to manage the projected heavy downpour to avert incidence of flooding disasters. Hence, such overarching system is one demanding concerted efforts from all level of governments. To this effect, no level of government from all sides should neglect its duty. Such neglect may leave behind lacuna that may give room to breaches which may permit damages that may be too costly. Since the law has clearly stated the sphere of jurisdiction for each level of government, and the budgetary allocations for the responsibilities bordering on the subject have always been earmarked appropriately, there is  no excuse or hiding ground for any level of government, from whatever part, to renege on its duty. Hence, responsiveness and proactivity must be displayed from all sides as duty demands.

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Editorial

Nigeria must act now to mitigate flood disasters

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As the rainy season looms ahead, a palpable sense of concern grips the nation.The recent cautionary message from the                      Federal Government to 31 state governors  regarding the looming threat of floods from April to November serves as a wake-up call, demanding swift and concerted action from both state and federal authorities.

Presented by Minister of Water Resources and Sanitation Joseph Utsev, the 2024 Annual Flood Outlook paints a bleak picture, underscoring the urgent need for preemptive measures. It is not merely an emphasising advisory; it is a resounding call to arms.

The spectre of past flood calamities in Kano, Taraba, Lagos, and other states still haunts our collective memory.

The haunting images of devastated homes, displaced families, and shattered livelihoods serve as poignant reminders of the human toll exacted by our complacency.

It is imperative that we glean lessons from these tragedies and take proactive steps to forestall the impending catastrophe.

The warning issued by the Federal Government is crystal clear: floods are imminent, and the time to act is now.

The Nigeria Hydrological Services Agency’s classification of 148 local government areas across 29 states, including Lagos, Kano, and Delta, as high flood-risk zones emphasising the gravity of the situation.

Every moment of inaction heightens the risk to countless lives and properties. State governors, local authorities, and relevant agencies must set aside differences and collaborate effectively to implement robust flood preparedness and mitigation measures.

From infrastructure reinforcement to early warning systems and community awareness campaigns, a comprehensive approach is imperative to safeguard vulnerable communities.

As responsible stewards of our nation’s welfare, we cannot afford to be caught off guard. Let us heed the warning, unite in purpose, and proactively address this looming threat.

The cost of inaction is too grave to contemplate, and the time to act decisively is now. This is not a drill.

The minister’s revelation that 31 states face high flood risks, while all 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory will experience moderate flooding, demands immediate attention and collective action.

“The high flood-risk states are Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Anambra, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Borno, Cross River, Delta, Ebonyi, Edo, Imo, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Plateau, Rivers, Sokoto, Taraba, Yobe,” the Minister said.

We cannot afford to wait until the waters rise and lives are lost. The time to act is now. It’s imperative that federal and state governments, agencies, and local communities join forces to mitigate the impact of floods.

This requires a coordinated response, including public awareness campaigns, infrastructure upgrades, emergency preparedness plans, and investment in flood mitigation projects.

The future of our nation depends on it. Let us heed the warning and take proactive steps to build a more resilient Nigeria, where lives and properties are protected from the ravages of flooding. The clock is ticking; let us act now to avoid a catastrophe.

While 31 states face high flood risks, the remaining five states must also be proactive in their preparations. It’s not enough to simply warn residents to relocate from flood-prone areas; state governments must provide safe and conducive spaces for relocation, complete with essential services like relief materials, healthcare, and security.

This will help mitigate the trauma faced by displaced families. Citizens, too, have a critical role to play. They must be willing to relocate from their homes and comfort zones to prevent avoidable deaths and losses. The stark reality is that flood disasters are devastating, as seen in 2023 when 45 lives were lost, 171,545 persons displaced, and 22,666 homes partially damaged, with 5,358 others completely destroyed.

The economic toll was equally staggering, with a $4.6 billion bill that significantly dented Nigeria’s GDP. Let us learn from the past and take collective responsibility for flood preparedness. State and federal governments, agencies, and citizens must work together to build a more resilient nation, where lives and properties are protected from the ravages of flooding. The time to act is now.

In 2022, flooding claimed 662 citizens; 2.43 million others were displaced and 3,174 were injured nationwide, per NEMA.

The financial losses were estimated at $9.12 billion by the Federal Government, and by a United Nations agency at $7 billion. A UN report stated that food insecurity was aggravated in the country as 569,000 hectares of farmland were destroyed by the flood.

According to the then Minister of Water Resources, Suleiman Adamu, 178 LGAs in 32 states were declared “highly probable flood risk states.”

Although climate change remains a global concern, leading to flash floods, droughts, forest fires, and cyclones, the government must not make excuses.

They need to take lessons from previous floodings and replace their nonchalance with strategic actions and campaigns. They must do all they can to avoid the repetition of losses of lives and properties.

The citizens must play their part by clearing drainage in their vicinity, cultivating good waste disposal and environmentally friendly culture. To entrench this, the government must place strict surveillance and enforce stiff penalties against erring residents.

State governments should demolish structures erected on flood paths to enable rainwater to drain appropriately.

NGOs in the environmental niche should activate campaigns distilled in local languages through the media to prepare citizens for the flood.

The federal and state governments should be proactive in the deployment of ecological funds to provide guardrails against natural disasters. This must be used for pre-emptive measures like building bridges, desilting rivers, evacuating canals and drainage, and building dams and levees. The dams would help preserve excess rainfall to irrigate farmland during the dry season.

The government must fully embrace its onerous duty to safeguard lives and properties.

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Editorial

Preparing for a challenging farming season: NiMet’s forecast and the need for proactive action

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As the farming season beckons, Nigerian farmers are bracing themselves for a turbulent ride. The Nigerian Meteorological Agency’s (NiMet) forecast of a delayed and shorter rainy season has sent shockwaves across the agricultural community, threatening to upend the delicate balance of our food security.

With millions of farmers poised to plant their crops, the clock is ticking. Will our policymakers and stakeholders rise to the challenge, or will we reap a harvest of regret? According to NiMet, this year’s rainy season will commence later than usual, with the central states expecting the onset of rains around May 29 and the northern states around June 13.

Moreover, the season is predicted to end earlier than usual, between October 6 and November, in many states. This forecast raises concerns for farmers, as a shorter rainy season can lead to reduced crop yields and increased risk of drought.

To mitigate these challenges, NiMet advises planting early-maturing crop varieties at the beginning of the season. This is a wise recommendation, as it allows farmers to adapt to the predicted weather patterns and minimize potential losses.

With predictions ranging from October 6 to November, regions including Yobe, Jigawa, Sokoto, and Lagos are bracing for a shorter agricultural window. This forecast emphasised the critical importance of proactive planning and early adoption of fast-maturing crop varieties.

The essence of NiMet’s warning is clear: farmers must act swiftly to secure the necessary resources for a successful harvest. From fertilizers to seeds, the time to procure vital inputs is now, to mitigate potential setbacks and ensure a fruitful season. Traditionally, this period marks the commencement of government initiatives to facilitate the purchase and distribution of agricultural inputs. However, the silence on this front is deafening.

Instead of prioritising the long-term sustainability of agriculture, many officials seem fixated on short-term palliative measures, neglecting the imperative of future agricultural prosperity. As the countdown to the abbreviated season begins, the call to action grows louder. Farmers must seize the moment, equipping themselves for the challenges ahead, while policymakers must refocus their attention on fostering a resilient agricultural sector for generations to come.

Only through collective effort and foresight can we navigate the uncertain terrain ahead and ensure a bountiful harvest for all. As the federal government pledges to revamp the textile industry, Nigerian farmers are grappling with a more pressing concern – the exorbitant cost of fertilizers and other essential inputs. A bag of fertilizer now costs a staggering N48,000, forcing farmers to either purchase substandard products or resort to traditional alternatives, resulting in poor yields and revenue losses. The high costs of seeds, herbicides, pesticides, labour, and fuel have pushed small-holder farmers to the brink.

Despite President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s assurances of support, including a promise to release 225,000 metric tons of fertilizers, seedlings, and other inputs in August 2023, concrete actions are yet to be seen. With food prices soaring nationwide, it is imperative that the government takes immediate steps to address the plight of farmers, who are crucial to the nation’s food security.

We urge the government to translate its promises into tangible support for farmers, including affordable access to quality inputs, to ensure a bountiful harvest and a food-secure future for Nigeria. We commend the Central Bank of Nigeria’s release of 2.15 million bags of fertilizer to the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security. However, it is alarming that there has been no update on the distribution of this vital commodity since the handover over a month ago.

Furthermore, we urge state governments to take their responsibilities in ensuring adequate input supply to farmers more seriously. We also call on the federal government to implement policies that facilitate the supply of fertilizers, seeds, and other inputs to the markets, thereby controlling rising prices.

The Presidential Fertilizer Initiative needs to be reviewed to ensure fertilizer blending plants resume production. Our farmers urgently need government support to access necessary inputs for successful cultivation. As the rains continue to falter, Nigerian farmers face an uphill battle. We urge the government to seed hope by providing essential resources – quality seeds, fertilizers, and equipment – to help them weather the storm.

Climate-resilient agriculture initiatives and weather insurance schemes will also help farmers adapt and thrive. But, there’s a greater challenge to tackle – the menace of bandits and militias terrorizing farmers, forcing them off their lands, and threatening our food security.

It’s time for decisive action! The government must act swiftly to protect our farmers, their farms, and our collective future. Let’s join forces to cultivate a brighter tomorrow, where our farmers can plant, grow, and harvest without fear. The time to act is now, for the sake of our nation’s food security and stability. Let’s sow the seeds of resilience and reap a bountiful harvest for generations to come!

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Editorial

Epileptic national grid in Nigeria: The way forward

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It is now commonplace to hear about the collapse of the national grid in Nigeria. In short, the news is now a periodic ritual. And for a country like Nigeria with all its potentials to be galloping with power in the name of national grid collapse is to say the least pathetic. Countries within our neighborhood we often refer to as smaller nations have since left us behind in terms of steady power supply.

Records have it that Nigeria has recorded about 140 national grid collapses since 2013 when the National Electricity Power Authority (NEPA) was unbundled and still counting. In first quarter of 2024 alone, Nigeria has recorded two national grid collapses, one on 4/2/2024 and  the other on 28/3/2024. One may now ask,what is the real problem? The country generates 4,000MW of electricity for a population of approximately 200m people. This is a far cry! What do we think 4,000MW will do for such a gargantuan population? Only God will save us!

According to reports, the Federal Government is targeting about 30,000MW in 2030. But experts say Nigeria needs about 33,000MW of electricity supply with its current population to be comfortable. Until that is achieved, it remains a dream. Now that power has been put into the concurrent list, states should wake up and embark on power generation projects to fill the existing gap created by the big brother, the Federal Government. It is not enough for states and local governments to continue to cry wolf when actually they can do something about the problem.

What are the effects of frequent national grid collapse? When there is a power outage, companies and organisations must provide their outfits with alternative power supply. That is, diesel or petrol.  This will automatically increase the cost of production. Private companies with little or no stamina to absorb the extra cost will close shop and the economy will be impacted negatively on. Workforce will be reduced or entirely laid off. Unemployment will creep in with its attendant factors of restiveness, social vices, and outright insurgency.

The country will start grappling with insecurity and its allies. Money that would have been spent on developmental projects will now be channelled to security, just as we have now. Lack of power equally brings about lack of social amenities, such as lack of potable water, healthcare services and poor infrastructures.In a situation like this, investors will take flight and the economy will collapse. We pray that our situation in the country does not get to this stage, because that will amount to a socio-economic crisis that no nation longs to experience.

What is the way out? The reason is that wishes and prayers are not economic strategies. The remedy of course is within our reach. The operators of the power sector often complain of gas supply challenges. The question is who is holding the gas from being supplied? Are there rough curves that should be smoothened in the contractual agreements? Who is responsible for tidying up such spots? It is a matter of putting the round peg in a round hole and the results will be natural.

There must also be commitment, patriotism on the part of the supervising agencies. Enough political will must be generated to drive these processes. This, of course, boils down to good leadership. And we strongly believe that the Renewed Hope Agenda of the President Ahmed Bola Tinubu-led Federal government is out to provide that. So there is nothing stopping us from achieving any goal we set for ourselves.

Another cause of national grid collapse is poor transmission. Others are poor infrastructures, vandalism, and liquidity crisis. These problems are not insurmountable.  All hands must therefore be on deck to achieve this.

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